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In the analysis of spatial point patterns on linear networks, a critical statistical objective is estimating the first-order intensity function, representing the expected number of points within specific subsets of the network. Typically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

A new clustering accuracy measure is proposed to determine the unknown number of clusters and to assess the quality of clustering of a data set given in any dimensional space. Our validity index applies the classical nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Soumita Modak

Recent work has focused on the problem of nonparametric estimation of information divergence functionals. Many existing approaches are restrictive in their assumptions on the density support set or require difficult calculations at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Kevin R. Moon , Kumar Sricharan , Kristjan Greenewald , Alfred O. Hero

We determine the amount of information contained in a time series of price returns at a given time scale, by using a widespread tool of the information theory, namely the Shannon entropy, applied to a symbolic representation of this time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

Due to the growing adoption of deep neural networks in many fields of science and engineering, modeling and estimating their uncertainties has become of primary importance. Despite the growing literature about uncertainty quantification in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Brian Staber , Sébastien Da Veiga

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is integral to a range of generative and discriminative tasks in machine learning. Drawing upon tools from the multidimensional calculus of variations, we derive an optimal weight function that reduces bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Sangwoong Yoon , Frank C. Park , Gunsu S Yun , Iljung Kim , Yung-Kyun Noh

The problem of error density estimation for a functional single index model with dependent errors is studied. A Bayesian method is utilized to simultaneously estimate the bandwidths in the kernel-form error density and regression function,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-23 Han Lin Shang

A new approach to the understanding of the complex behavior of financial markets index using tools from thermodynamics and statistical physics is developed. Physical complexity, a magnitude rooted in the Kolmogorov-Chaitin theory is applied…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ricardo Mansilla

This paper describes how to specify probability models for data analysis via a backward induction procedure. The new approach yields coherent, prior-free uncertainty assessment. After presenting some intuition-building examples, the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 P. Richard Hahn

Information theory provides principled ways to analyze different inference and learning problems such as hypothesis testing, clustering, dimensionality reduction, classification, among others. However, the use of information theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-03 Luis G. Sanchez Giraldo , Murali Rao , Jose C. Principe

Kernel density estimation and kernel regression are powerful but computationally expensive techniques: a direct evaluation of kernel density estimates at $M$ evaluation points given $N$ input sample points requires a quadratic…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Nicolas Langrené , Xavier Warin

Kernel based methods provide a way to reconstruct potentially high-dimensional functions from meshfree samples, i.e., sampling points and corresponding target values. A crucial ingredient for this to be successful is the distribution of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Tizian Wenzel , Gabriele Santin , Bernard Haasdonk

This study proposes a mathematical programming-based algorithm for the integrated selection of variable subsets and bandwidth estimation in geographically weighted regression, a local regression method that allows the kernel bandwidth and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Hyunwoo Lee , Young Woong Park

This paper studies Kernel Density Estimation for a high-dimensional distribution $\rho(x)$. Traditional approaches have focused on the limit of large number of data points $n$ and fixed dimension $d$. We analyze instead the regime where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Giulio Biroli , Marc Mézard

This paper investigates the post-hoc calibration of confidence for "exploratory" machine learning classification problems. The difficulty in these problems stems from the continuing desire to push the boundaries of which categories have…

Density-based clustering relies on the idea of linking groups to some specific features of the probability distribution underlying the data. The reference to a true, yet unknown, population structure allows to frame the clustering problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Alessandro Casa , José E. Chacón , Giovanna Menardi

Recommendation systems are emerging as an important business application with significant economic impact. Currently popular systems include Amazon's book recommendations, Netflix's movie recommendations, and Pandora's music…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-12-03 Mingxuan Sun , Guy Lebanon , Paul Kidwell

Bitcoin is currently subject to a significant pay-for-speed trade-off. This is caused by lengthy and highly variable transaction confirmation times, especially during times of congestion. Users can reduce their transaction confirmation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Rowel Gündlach , Ivo V. Stoepker , Stella Kapodistria , Jacques A. C. Resing

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong

This study considers the treatment choice problem when outcome variables are binary. We focus on statistical treatment rules that plug in fitted values based on nonparametric kernel regression and show that optimizing two parameters enables…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-19 Takuya Ishihara