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The class imbalance problem refers to the disproportionate distribution of samples across different classes within a dataset, where the minority classes are significantly underrepresented. This issue is also prevalent in graph-structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Fanlong Zeng , Wensheng Gan , Philip S. Yu

Scientific fields such as insider-threat detection and highway-safety planning often lack sufficient amounts of time-series data to estimate statistical models for the purpose of scientific discovery. Moreover, the available limited data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-16 Daniel Emaasit , Matthew Johnson

Short-term forecasting of vegetation dynamics is a key enabler for data-driven decision support in precision agriculture. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) forecasting from satellite observations, however, remains challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Irene Iele , Giulia Romoli , Daniele Molino , Elena Mulero Ayllón , Filippo Ruffini , Paolo Soda , Matteo Tortora

Sparse linear regression is one of the classic problems in the field of statistics, which has deep connections and high intersections with optimization, computation, and machine learning. To address the effective handling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Peili Li , Zhuomei Li , Yunhai Xiao , Chao Ying , Zhou Yu

Graph Neural Networks have achieved impressive results across diverse network modeling tasks, but accurately estimating uncertainty on graphs remains difficult, especially under distributional shifts. Unlike traditional uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Fred Xu , Thomas Markovich

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

State-of-the-art methods for forecasting irregularly sampled time series with missing values predominantly rely on just four datasets and a few small toy examples for evaluation. While ordinary differential equations (ODE) are the prevalent…

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Clinical time series are often irregularly sampled, with varying sensor frequencies, missing observations, and misaligned timestamps. Prior approaches typically address these irregularities by interpolating data into regular sequences,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Arash Hajisafi , Maria Despoina Siampou , Bita Azarijoo , Zhen Xiong , Cyrus Shahabi

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

There is a recent surge in the development of spatio-temporal forecasting models in the transportation domain. Long-range traffic forecasting, however, remains a challenging task due to the intricate and extensive spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Zibo Liu , Parshin Shojaee , Chandan K Reddy

Spatial-temporal graphs are widely used in a variety of real-world applications. Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool to extract meaningful insights from this data. However, in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Zhenyu Lei , Yushun Dong , Jundong Li , Chen Chen

Multivariate time-series forecasting plays a crucial role in many real-world applications. It is a challenging problem as one needs to consider both intra-series temporal correlations and inter-series correlations simultaneously. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Defu Cao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Ce Zhang , Xia Zhu , Conguri Huang , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

We give a simple, multiplicative-weight update algorithm for learning undirected graphical models or Markov random fields (MRFs). The approach is new, and for the well-studied case of Ising models or Boltzmann machines, we obtain an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Adam Klivans , Raghu Meka

Feature-based time series representations have attracted substantial attention in a wide range of time series analysis methods. Recently, the use of time series features for forecast model averaging has been an emerging research focus in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 Xixi Li , Yanfei Kang , Feng Li

Multivariate time series alignment is critical for ensuring coherent analysis across variables, but missing values and timestamp inconsistencies make this task highly challenging. Existing approaches often rely on prior imputation, which…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ding Jia , Jingyu Zhu , Yu Sun , Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

In this paper, we investigate the Gaussian graphical model inference problem in a novel setting that we call erose measurements, referring to irregularly measured or observed data. For graphs, this results in different node pairs having…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lili Zheng , Genevera I. Allen

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao