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We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

Statistical inference, a central tool of science, revolves around the study and the usage of statistical estimators: functions that map finite samples to predictions about unknown distribution parameters. In the frequentist framework,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Maxime Peyrard , Kyunghyun Cho

Models often need to be constrained to a certain size for them to be considered interpretable. For example, a decision tree of depth 5 is much easier to understand than one of depth 50. Limiting model size, however, often reduces accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Abhishek Ghose , Balaraman Ravindran

In numerous predictive scenarios, the predictive model affects the sampling distribution; for example, job applicants often meticulously craft their resumes to navigate through a screening systems. Such shifts in distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-14 Daniele Bracale , Subha Maity , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Transductive inference is an effective means of tackling the data deficiency problem in few-shot learning settings. A popular transductive inference technique for few-shot metric-based approaches, is to update the prototype of each class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Seong Min Kye , Hae Beom Lee , Hoirin Kim , Sung Ju Hwang

Reliable confidence estimation for the predictions is important in many safety-critical applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions. Recently, many calibration methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Fei Zhu , Zhen Cheng , Xu-Yao Zhang , Cheng-Lin Liu

NLP models often rely on superficial cues known as dataset biases to achieve impressive performance, and can fail on examples where these biases do not hold. Recent work sought to develop robust, unbiased models by filtering biased examples…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Yuval Reif , Roy Schwartz

Hindsight goal relabeling has become a foundational technique in multi-goal reinforcement learning (RL). The essential idea is that any trajectory can be seen as a sub-optimal demonstration for reaching its final state. Intuitively,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Lunjun Zhang , Bradly C. Stadie

In many real-world binary classification tasks (e.g. detection of certain objects from images), an available dataset is imbalanced, i.e., it has much less representatives of a one class (a minor class), than of another. Generally, accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Pavel Erofeev , Artem Papanov

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

All proper scoring rules incentivize an expert to predict \emph{accurately} (report their true estimate), but not all proper scoring rules equally incentivize \emph{precision}. Rather than treating the expert's belief as exogenously given,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Eric Neyman , Georgy Noarov , S. Matthew Weinberg

The problem of computing minimally sparse solutions of under-determined linear systems is $NP$ hard in general. Subsets with extra properties, may allow efficient algorithms, most notably problems with the restricted isometry property (RIP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 G. Welper

Software defect prediction plays a crucial role in estimating the most defect-prone components of software, and a large number of studies have pursued improving prediction accuracy within a project or across projects. However, the rules for…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Peng He , Bing Li , Xiao Liu , Jun Chen , Yutao Ma

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) models rely on a pretext task to learn representations. Because this pretext task differs from the downstream tasks used to evaluate the performance of these models, there is an inherent misalignment or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Florian Bordes , Samuel Lavoie , Randall Balestriero , Nicolas Ballas , Pascal Vincent

Dataset replication is a useful tool for assessing whether improvements in test accuracy on a specific benchmark correspond to improvements in models' ability to generalize reliably. In this work, we present unintuitive yet significant ways…

Predicting which action (treatment) will lead to a better outcome is a central task in decision support systems. To build a prediction model in real situations, learning from biased observational data is a critical issue due to the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Akira Tanimoto , Tomoya Sakai , Takashi Takenouchi , Hisashi Kashima

Confident prediction is highly relevant in machine learning; for example, in applications such as medical diagnoses, wrong prediction can be fatal. For classification, there already exist procedures that allow to not classify data when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

There is growing evidence that converting targets to soft targets in supervised learning can provide considerable gains in performance. Much of this work has considered classification, converting hard zero-one values to soft labels---such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Ehsan Imani , Martha White
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