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Time series forecasting has long been dominated by model-centric approaches that formulate prediction as a single-pass mapping from historical observations to future values. Despite recent progress, such formulations often struggle in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Xiaoyu Tao , Mingyue Cheng , Chuang Jiang , Tian Gao , Huanjian Zhang , Yaguo Liu

Recent research demonstrates that linear models achieve forecasting performance competitive with complex architectures, yet methodologies for enhancing linear models remain underexplored. Motivated by the hypothesis that distinct time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Zipo Jibao , Yingyi Fu , Xinyang Chen , Guoting Chen

Origin-Destination (OD) matrices record directional flow data between pairs of OD regions. The intricate spatiotemporal dependency in the matrices makes the OD matrix forecasting (ODMF) problem not only intractable but also non-trivial.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Jin Huang , Bosong Huang , Weihao Yu , Jing Xiao , Ruzhong Xie , Ke Ruan

A reliable and efficient representation of multivariate time series is crucial in various downstream machine learning tasks. In multivariate time series forecasting, each variable depends on its historical values and there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 William T. Ng , K. Siu , Albert C. Cheung , Michael K. Ng

Deep learning utilizing transformers has recently achieved a lot of success in many vital areas such as natural language processing, computer vision, anomaly detection, and recommendation systems, among many others. Among several merits of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Lena Sasal , Tanujit Chakraborty , Abdenour Hadid

Diffusion Transformers have demonstrated remarkable performance in video generation. However, their long input sequences incur substantial latency due to the quadratic complexity of full attention. Various sparse attention mechanisms have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Tongcheng Fang , Hanling Zhang , Ruiqi Xie , Zhuo Han , Xin Tao , Tianchen Zhao , Pengfei Wan , Wenbo Ding , Wanli Ouyang , Xuefei Ning , Yu Wang

Real-time energy forecasting on edge devices represents a major challenge for smart grid optimization and intelligent buildings. We present LAD-BNet (Lag-Aware Dual-Branch Network), an innovative neural architecture optimized for edge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Jean-Philippe Lignier

As the growing demand for long sequence time-series forecasting in real-world applications, such as electricity consumption planning, the significance of time series forecasting becomes increasingly crucial across various domains. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Wentao Gao , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le , Debo Cheng , Yanchang Zhao , Yun Chen

The attention mechanism has demonstrated remarkable potential in sequence modeling, exemplified by its successful application in natural language processing with models such as Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Zhiwen Xiao , Jincheng Peng , Li Feng , Xinhan Wang , Rong Qu , Hui Li

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

The task of multi-channel time series forecasting is ubiquitous in numerous fields such as finance, supply chain management, and energy planning. It is critical to effectively capture complex dynamic dependencies within and between channels…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Lei Gao , Hengda Bao , Jingfei Fang , Guangzheng Wu , Weihua Zhou , Yun Zhou

Temporal causal representation learning is a powerful tool for uncovering complex patterns in observational studies, which are often represented as low-dimensional time series. However, in many real-world applications, data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jianhong Chen , Meng Zhao , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Xubo Yue

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

We present a representation learning framework for financial time series forecasting. One challenge of using deep learning models for finance forecasting is the shortage of available training data when using small datasets. Direct trend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Hanwei Wu , Ather Gattami , Markus Flierl

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

The emergence of deep learning has yielded noteworthy advancements in time series forecasting (TSF). Transformer architectures, in particular, have witnessed broad utilization and adoption in TSF tasks. Transformers have proven to be the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Liyilei Su , Xumin Zuo , Rui Li , Xin Wang , Heng Zhao , Bingding Huang

Nowadays, time series forecasting is predominantly approached through the end-to-end training of deep learning architectures using error-based objectives. While this is effective at minimizing average loss, it encourages the encoder to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Jiacheng Wang , Liang Fan , Baihua Li , Luyan Zhang

With the development of feed-forward models, the default model for sequence modeling has gradually evolved to replace recurrent networks. Many powerful feed-forward models based on convolutional networks and attention mechanism were…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Hongyan Hao , Yan Wang , Siqiao Xue , Yudi Xia , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Traffic forecasting is one canonical example of spatial-temporal learning task in Intelligent Traffic System. Existing approaches capture spatial dependency with a pre-determined matrix in graph convolution neural operators. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Chen Weikang , Li Yawen , Xue Zhe , Li Ang , Wu Guobin