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Ordinary and stochastic differential equations (ODEs and SDEs) are widely used to model continuous-time processes across various scientific fields. While ODEs offer interpretability and simplicity, SDEs incorporate randomness, providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Qingchuan Sun , Susanne Ditlevsen

Nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are powerful tools for modeling real-world dynamical systems. However, propagating initial state uncertainty through nonlinear dynamics, especially when the ODE is unknown and learned from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Peter Amorese , Morteza Lahijanian

In this article we study post-model selection estimators that apply ordinary least squares (OLS) to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically Lasso. It is well known that Lasso can estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

Parameter inference of dynamical systems is a challenging task faced by many researchers and practitioners across various fields. In many applications, it is common that only limited variables are observable. In this paper, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Yu Chen , Jin Cheng , Arvind Gupta , Huaxiong Huang , Shixin Xu

We consider the question of learning in general topological vector spaces. By exploiting known (or parametrized) covariance structures, our Main Theorem demonstrates that any continuous linear map corresponds to a certain isomorphism of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Tom LaGatta , P. Richard Hahn

The densest subgraph problem, introduced in the 80s by Picard and Queyranne as well as Goldberg, is a classic problem in combinatorial optimization with a wide range of applications. The lowest outdegree orientation problem is known to be…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Hsin-Hao Su , Hoa T. Vu

Ordinary differential equations provide an attractive framework for modeling temporal dynamics in a variety of scientific settings. We show how consistent estimation for parameters in ODE models can be obtained by modifying a direct…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-20 Sarah E. Holte

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

In this paper, we argue that the unsatisfactory out-of-distribution (OOD) detection performance of neural networks is mainly due to the SoftMax loss anisotropy and propensity to produce low entropy probability distributions in disagreement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 David Macêdo , Tsang Ing Ren , Cleber Zanchettin , Adriano L. I. Oliveira , Teresa Ludermir

Opportunistic detection rules (ODRs) are variants of fixed-sample-size detection rules in which the statistician is allowed to make an early decision on the alternative hypothesis opportunistically based on the sequentially observed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Wenyi Zhang , George V. Moustakides , H. Vincent Poor

We introduce and demonstrate two linear inverse modelling methods for systems of stochastic ODE's with accuracy that is independent of the dimensionality (number of elements) of the state vector representing the system in question.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-04-29 Fenwick C. Cooper

This paper presents a new algorithm for automatic variables selection. In particular, using the Graphical Models properties it is possible to develop a method that can be used in the contest of large dataset. The advantage of this algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-17 Luigi Riso

Isostable reduction is a powerful technique that can be used to characterize behaviors of nonlinear dynamical systems in a basis of slowly decaying eigenfunctions of the Koopman operator. When the underlying dynamical equations are known,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Dan Wilson

An alternative numerical method is developed to find stable and unstable periodic orbits of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method exploits the high-efficiency of the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for medium-sized problems and has the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-11-17 W. Dednam , A. E. Botha

In this work, we discuss a non-Hermitian system described via a one-dimensional single-particle tight-binding model, where the non-Hermiticity is governed by random nearest-neighbour tunnellings, such that the left-to-right and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-01-19 Aitijhya Saha , Debraj Rakshit

Drawing upon the bursting mechanism in slow-fast systems, we propose indicators for the prediction of such rare extreme events which do not require a priori known slow and fast coordinates. The indicators are associated with functionals…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Mohammad Farazmand , Themistoklis Sapsis

Learning dynamics from dissipative chaotic systems is notoriously difficult due to their inherent instability, as formalized by their positive Lyapunov exponents, which exponentially amplify errors in the learned dynamics. However, many of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yair Schiff , Zhong Yi Wan , Jeffrey B. Parker , Stephan Hoyer , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

We propose new methods to numerically approximate non-attracting sets governing transiently-chaotic systems. Trajectories starting in a vicinity $\Omega$ of these sets escape $\Omega$ in a finite time $\tau$ and the problem is to find…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-01-04 M. Sala , J. C. Leitao , E. G. Altmann

This work focuses on angular values of nonautonomous dynamical systems which have been introduced for general random and (non)autonomous dynamical systems in a previous publication [W.-J. Beyn, G. Froyland, and T. H\"uls, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Wolf-Jürgen Beyn , Thorsten Hüls

Given an unknown dynamic system such as a coupled harmonic oscillator with $n$ springs and point masses. We are often interested in gaining insights into its physical parameters, i.e. stiffnesses and masses, by observing trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Gregory Barber , Mulugeta A. Haile , Tzikang Chen