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The weather and climate domains are undergoing a significant transformation thanks to advances in AI-based foundation models such as FourCastNet, GraphCast, ClimaX and Pangu-Weather. While these models show considerable potential, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Junqi Yin , Siming Liang , Siyan Liu , Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Dan Lu , Guannan Zhang

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo approximation of the Kalman filter for high dimensional linear Gaussian state space models. EnKF methods have also been developed for parameter inference of static Bayesian models with a…

This paper presents the machine learning-based ensemble conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) -- a filtering method based on the conditional mean filter (CMF) previously introduced in the literature. The updated mean of the CMF matches that of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Sebastian Krumscheid , Hermann G. Matthies , Raúl Tempone

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

A turbulent side-wall quenching (SWQ) flame in a fully developed channel flow is studied using Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) with a tabulated chemistry approach. Three different flamelet manifolds with increasing levels of complexity are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-16 Yujuan Luo , Matthias Steinhausen , Driss Kaddar , Christian Hasse , Federica Ferraro

The Bootstrap Particle Filter (BPF) and the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are two widely used methods for sequential Bayesian filtering: the BPF is asymptotically exact but can suffer from weight degeneracy, while the EnKF scales well in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ilja Klebanov , Claudia Schillings , Dana Wrischnig

In this work, we present the ensemble-marginalized Kalman filter (EnMKF), a sequential algorithm analogous to our previously proposed approach [1,2], for estimating the state and parameters of linear parabolic partial differential equations…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Marco Iglesias , Zaid Sawlan , Marco Scavino , Raul Tempone , Christopher Wood

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

Data-driven modelling techniques provide a method for deriving models of dynamical systems directly from complicated data streams. However, tracking and forecasting such data streams poses a significant challenge to most methods, as they…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

A filtered density function (FDF) model based on deep neural network (DNN), termed DNN-FDF, is introduced for large eddy simulation (LES) of turbulent flows involving conserved scalar transport. The primary objectives of this study are to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-02 Shubhangi Bansude , Reza Sheikhi

In this article, we utilize machine learning to dynamically determine if a point on the computational grid requires implicit numerical dissipation for large eddy simulation (LES). The decision making process is learnt through \emph{a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-02-07 Romit Maulik , Omer San , Jamey D Jacob

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EnGMF) is a non-linear filter suited to data assimilation of highly non-Gaussian and non-linear models that has practical utility in the case of a small number of samples, and theoretical convergence to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Andrey A. Popov , Enrico M. Zucchelli , Renato Zanetti

Working with a two-stage ice sheet model, we explore how statistical data assimilation methods can be used to improve predictions of glacier melt and relatedly, sea level rise. We find that the EnKF improves model runs initialized using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Emily Corcoran , Logan Knudsen , Talea Mayo , Hannah Park-Kaufmann , Alexander Robel

We study the numerical errors of large-eddy simulation (LES) in isotropic and wall-bounded turbulence. A direct-numerical-simulation (DNS)-aided LES formulation, where the subgrid-scale (SGS) term of the LES is computed by using filtered…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-05 H. Jane Bae , Adrian Lozano-Duran

Accurate estimation and forecasting of energy consumption are important for power-system operation, planning, and demand-side management. In practice, however, complete and timely measurements may not always be available, and the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Ruoyu Hu , Dahai Yu , Feng Bao , Guang Wang , Guannan Zhang

This study proposes a rotationally invariant data-driven subgrid-scale (SGS) model for large-eddy simulation (LES) of wall-bounded turbulent flows. Building upon the multiscale convolutional neural network subgrid-scale model, which outputs…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-03 Bahrul Jalaali , Kie Okabayashi

The ensemble Kalman filter is a well-known and celebrated data assimilation algorithm. It is of particular relevance as it used for high-dimensional problems, by updating an ensemble of particles through a sample mean and covariance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Neil K. Chada

This study proposes a novel method for developing discretization-consistent closure schemes for implicitly filtered Large Eddy Simulation (LES). Here, the induced filter kernel, and thus the closure terms, are determined by the properties…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-14 Andrea Beck , Marius Kurz

We developed a novel autonomously dynamic nonlocal turbulence model for the large and very large eddy simulation (LES, VLES) of the homogeneous isotropic turbulent flows (HIT). The model is based on a generalized (integer-to-noninteger)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-07 S. Hadi Seyedi , Mohsen Zayernouri

We propose a new type of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), which uses the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) for covariance estimation from a very small ensemble with automatic tapering, and for a fast computation of the analysis ensemble by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-08-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko