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This paper, which is Part 1 of a two-part paper series, considers a simulation-based inference with learned summary statistics, in which such a learned summary statistic serves as an empirical-likelihood with ameliorative effects in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Getachew K. Befekadu

Fine-tuning and naturalness, the sensitivity of low-energy observables to small changes in the fundamental parameters of a theory, are cornerstones of physics beyond the Standard Model. We propose a new measure of fine-tuning based on…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2026-05-04 James Halverson , Thomas R. Harvey , Michael Nee

The lossless data compression algorithm based on Bayesian Attention Networks is derived from first principles. Bayesian Attention Networks are defined by introducing an attention factor per a training sample loss as a function of two sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Michael Tetelman

ReRecent studies in machine learning are based on models in which parameters or state variables are bounded restricted. These restrictions are from prior information to ensure the validity of scientific theories or structural consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Kristofer Mansson

We consider the Bayesian detection statistic for a targeted search for continuous gravitational waves, known as the $\mathcal{B}$-statistic. This is a Bayes factor between signal and noise hypotheses, produced by marginalizing over the four…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-12-19 John J. Bero , John T. Whelan

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

In recent years there has been substantial development in algorithms for quantum phase estimation. In this work we provide a new approach to online Bayesian phase estimation that achieves Heisenberg limited scaling that requires…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-10 Cassandra Granade , Nathan Wiebe

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Although Bayesian methods are robust and principled, their application in practice could be limited since they typically rely on computationally intensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms for their implementation. One possible solution…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-06 Tian Chen , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

The explorations of models beyond the Standard Model (BSM) naturally involve scans over the unknown BSM parameters. On the other hand, high precision predictions require calculations at the loop-level and thus a renormalization of (some of)…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-01 S. Heinemeyer , F. von der Pahlen

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology which uses random walks for rapid inference of statistical properties of undirected networks with weighted or unweighted edges. Our formalism yields high-accuracy estimates of the probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-25 Willow B. Kion-Crosby , Alexandre V. Morozov

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Eric Heiden , Christopher E. Denniston , David Millard , Fabio Ramos , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

The analysis of complex physical systems hinges on the ability to extract the relevant degrees of freedom from among the many others. Though much hope is placed in machine learning, it also brings challenges, chief of which is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-23 Amit Gordon , Aditya Banerjee , Maciej Koch-Janusz , Zohar Ringel

Bathymetry reconstruction is an important problem in various fields, including oceanography and environmental monitoring. This paper presents a Bayesian inference approach to reconstructing bathymetries from point measurements of the water…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lars Stietz , Sebastian Götschel , Peter Schleper , Daniel Ruprecht

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Bayesian inference can often be sensitive to the choice of hyperparameters of the prior or likelihood, yet defining and quantifying this sensitivity in a principled and computationally feasible way remains challenging in practice.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Arina Odnoblyudova , Charita Dellaporta , François-Xavier Briol

Motivated by the increasing use of and rapid changes in array technologies, we consider the prediction problem of fitting a linear regression relating a continuous outcome $Y$ to a large number of covariates $\mathbf {X}$, for example,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Philip S. Boonstra , Bhramar Mukherjee , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

Traditional inference in cointegrating regressions requires tuning parameter choices to estimate a long-run variance parameter. Even in case these choices are "optimal", the tests are severely size distorted. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Karsten Reichold , Carsten Jentsch
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