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By informing the onset of the degradation process, health status evaluation serves as a significant preliminary step for reliable remaining useful life (RUL) estimation of complex equipment. This paper proposes a novel temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Anushiya Arunan , Yan Qin , Xiaoli Li , Chau Yuen

The fluid dynamics community has increasingly adopted machine learning to analyze, model, predict, and control a wide range of flows. These methods offer powerful computational capabilities for regression, compression, and optimization. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-26 Kunihiko Taira , Georgios Rigas , Kai Fukami

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Lorenzo Trapani

Anomaly detection in supercomputers is a very difficult problem due to the big scale of the systems and the high number of components. The current state of the art for automated anomaly detection employs Machine Learning methods or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Andrea Borghesi , Andrea Bartolini , Michele Lombardi , Michela Milano , Luca Benini

Model-free and data-driven prediction of tipping point transitions in nonlinear dynamical systems is a challenging and outstanding task in complex systems science. We propose a novel, fully data-driven machine learning algorithm based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth

The extensive emergence of big data techniques has led to an increasing interest in the development of change-point detection algorithms that can perform well in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional setting. In the current paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Andreas Anastasiou , Angelos Papanastasiou

In river flow analysis and forecasting there are some key elements to consider in order to obtain reliable results. For example, seasonality is often accounted for in statistical models because climatic oscillations occurring every year…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-19 Domenico Cucina , Manuel Rizzo , Eugen Ursu

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

Detecting abrupt changes in streaming graph signals is relevant in a variety of applications ranging from energy and water supplies, to environmental monitoring. In this paper, we address this problem when anomalies activate localized…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-16 André Ferrari , Cédric Richard , Louis Verduci

Detecting early warning indicators for abrupt dynamical transitions in complex systems or high-dimensional observation data is essential in many real-world applications, such as brain diseases, natural disasters, and engineering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Wang Xiao , Jinqiao Duan

Online change detection is crucial for mobile robots to efficiently navigate through dynamic environments. Detecting changes in transient settings, such as active construction sites or frequently reconfigured indoor spaces, is particularly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Seoyeon Jang , Alex Junho Lee , I Made Aswin Nahrendra , Hyun Myung

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We developed a tool for detecting domain shifts, namely subtle differences in the probability distributions of datasets. We identify these shifts using an algorithm designed to detect localised density anomalies in high-dimensional feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Sebastian Springer , Alessandro Laio

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

Recognizing dynamic scenes is one of the fundamental problems in scene understanding, which categorizes moving scenes such as a forest fire, landslide, or avalanche. While existing methods focus on reliable capturing of static and dynamic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-02-17 Sungeun Hong , Jongbin Ryu , Woobin Im , Hyun S. Yang

Body-worn video (BWV) cameras are increasingly utilized by police departments to provide a record of police-public interactions. However, large-scale BWV deployment produces terabytes of data per week, necessitating the development of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-21 Stephanie Allen , David Madras , Ye Ye , Greg Zanotti

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

It has been shown that deep learning models can under certain circumstances outperform traditional statistical methods at forecasting. Furthermore, various techniques have been developed for quantifying the forecast uncertainty (prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

The study of plasma physics under conditions of extreme temperatures, densities and electromagnetic field strengths is significant for our understanding of astrophysics, nuclear fusion and fundamental physics. These extreme physical systems…