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Tropical cyclones cause significant inland hazards, including wind damage and freshwater flooding, that depend strongly on how storm intensity evolves at and after landfall. Existing theoretical predictions for the time-dependent and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-27 Jie Chen , Daniel R. Chavas

While machine learning (ML) post-processing of convection-allowing model (CAM) output for severe weather hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and/or tornadoes) has shown promise for very short lead times (0-3 hours), its application to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Montgomery Flora , Samuel Varga , Corey Potvin , Noah Lang

The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models, especially those employing deep learning techniques. This paper reviews the advancements and applications of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Hailong Shu , Yue Wang , Weiwei Song , Huichuang Guo , Zhen Song

The goal of precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period of time. Very few previous studies have examined this crucial and challenging weather forecasting problem from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-22 Xingjian Shi , Zhourong Chen , Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Wai-kin Wong , Wang-chun Woo

Flash flood warnings are largely reactive, providing limited advance notice for evacuation planning and resource prepositioning. This study presents and validates an anticipatory, parametric framework that converts landscape vulnerability…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Samuel D Brody , Ali Mostafavi

Predicting typhoon intensity accurately across space and time is crucial for issuing timely disaster warnings and facilitating emergency response. This has vast potential for minimizing life losses and property damages as well as reducing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Huanxin Chen , Pengshuai Yin , Huichou Huang , Qingyao Wu , Ruirui Liu , Xiatian Zhu

Models applied on real time response task, like click-through rate (CTR) prediction model, require high accuracy and rigorous response time. Therefore, top-performing deep models of high depth and complexity are not well suited for these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-16 Guorui Zhou , Ying Fan , Runpeng Cui , Weijie Bian , Xiaoqiang Zhu , Kun Gai

Recently, there has been a surge of research on data-driven weather forecasting systems, especially applications based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These are usually trained on atmospheric data represented on regular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-18 Sebastian Scher , Gabriele Messori

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Numerical weather prediction has traditionally been based on physical models of the atmosphere. Recently, however, the rise of deep learning has created increased interest in purely data-driven medium-range weather forecasting with first…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Stephan Rasp , Nils Thuerey

In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has deeply impacted various fields, including Earth system sciences. Here, AI improved weather forecasting, model emulation, parameter estimation, and the prediction of extreme events. However,…

Storm surge is a significant threat to coastal communities across the globe, responsible for loss of life and enormous property damage. Consequently, significant efforts have been expended to develop high-fidelity physics-based models for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Benjamin Pachev , Prateek Arora , Jinpai Zhao , Eirik Valseth

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computational demands and intrinsic predictability, while…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Shan Guo , Lei Chen , Yangyang Zhao , Yuetan Lin , Zeyi Niu , Xinyan Zhang , Ziyao Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Lightning activity on a global scale has been studied season wise using satellite data for the period from 1998 to 2009. Lightning activity shows an increasing trend during the period of study which is highly correlated with atmospheric…

General Physics · Physics 2010-12-23 Felix Pereira B. , Priyadarsini G. , T. E. Girish

Climate change-associated disasters have become a significant concern, principally when affecting urban areas. Assessing these regions' resilience to strengthen their disaster management is crucial, especially in the areas vulnerable to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Matheus Puime Pedra , Josune Hernantes , Leire Casals , Leire Labaka

Precipitation nowcasting plays a pivotal role in socioeconomic sectors, especially in severe convective weather warnings. Although notable progress has been achieved by approaches mining the spatiotemporal correlations with deep learning,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Junchao Gong , Siwei Tu , Weidong Yang , Ben Fei , Kun Chen , Wenlong Zhang , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar data plays a crucial role in extreme weather prediction and has broad implications for disaster management. Despite progresses have been made based on deep learning, two key challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Peng Ye , Wanghan Xu , Na Liu , Jianhua Dai , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

Lightning is a natural phenomenon that takes place all around the world. The enormous amount of energy released by lightning is extremely ruinous, so some suitable protection schemes are required for power systems to minimize its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-29 Shahab Aref , Alireza Sedighi Anaraki

Floods are among the most damaging weather-related hazards, and in 2024, the warmest year on record, extreme flood events affected communities across five continents. Earth observation (EO) satellites provide critical, frequent coverage for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Mirela G. Tulbure , Julio Caineta , Mark Broich , Mollie D. Gaines , Philippe Rufin , Leon-Friedrich Thomas , Hamed Alemohammad , Jan Hemmerling , Patrick Hostert

Thunderstorm Ground Enhancements (TGEs) are bursts of high-energy particle fluxes detected at Earth's surface, linked to the Relativistic Runaway Electron Avalanche (RREA) mechanism within thunderclouds. Accurate detection of TGEs is vital…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-10-30 Davit Aslanyan