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The relationship between global warming and extreme rainfalls in Taiwan was examined in this study. Taiwan rainfall data from TCCIP, a project led by MOST, were analyzed. North Hemisphere reference temperature data from NCEI led by NOAA.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-04 Cheng-Ching Lin

The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is important for bringing rainfall to large areas of China. Historically, variations in the EASM have had major impacts including flooding and drought. We present an analysis of the impact of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-04 Claire Burke , Peter Stott

Extreme precipitation shows non-stationary behavior over time, but also with respect to other large-scale variables. While this effect is often neglected, we propose a model including the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation, time,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Felix S. Fauer , Henning W. Rust

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model for spatial extremes on a large domain. In the data layer a Gaussian elliptical copula having generalized extreme value (GEV) marginals is applied. Spatial dependence in the GEV parameters are…

The Mediterranean is strongly affected by Extreme Precipitation Events (EPEs), sometimes leading to negative impacts on society, economy, and the environment. Understanding such natural hazards and their drivers is essential to mitigate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-16 Nikolaos Mastrantonas , Pedro Herrera-Lormendez , Linus Magnusson , Florian Pappenberger , Jörg Matschullat

Anthropogenic climate change increased the probability that a short-duration, intense rainfall event would occur in parts of southeast China. This type of event occurred in May 2015, causing serious flooding.

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-30 Claire Burke , Peter Stott , Ying Sun , Andrew Ciavarella

Knowledge of regional net primary productivity (NPP) is important for the systematic understanding of the global carbon cycle. In this study, multi-source data were employed to conduct a 33-year regional NPP study in southwest China, at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-02 Xiaobin Guan , Huanfeng Shen , Wenxia Gan , Gang Yang , Lunche Wang , Xinghua Li , Liangpei Zhang

There is substantial empirical and climatological evidence that precipitation extremes have become more extreme during the twentieth century, and that this trend is likely to continue as global warming becomes more intense. However,…

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

Catastrophic losses caused by natural disasters receive a growing concern about the severe rise in magnitude and frequency. The constructions of insurance and financial management scheme become increasingly necessary to diversify the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Chengxiu Ling , Jiayi Li , Yixuan Liu , Zhiyan Cai

Severe thunderstorms can have devastating impacts. Concurrently high values of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and storm relative helicity (SRH) are known to be conducive to severe weather, so high values of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-31 Erwan Koch , Jonathan Koh , Anthony C. Davison , Chiara Lepore , Michael K. Tippett

The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution plays a critical role in risk assessment across various domains, such as hydrology, climate science, and finance. In this study, we investigate its application in analyzing intraday trading…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-10 Sen Lin , Ao Kong , Robert Azencott

Air pollution has become a major issue and caused widespread environmental and health problems. Aerosols or particulate matters are an important component of the atmosphere and can transport under complex meteorological conditions. Based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Yongwen Zhang , Dean Chen , Jingfang Fan , Shlomo Havlin , Xiaosong Chen

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

The karst area in Yunnan-Guangxi-Guizhou region in southwest China is known for widespread rocky desertification but several studies report a greening trend since the year 2000. While the start of the greening trend seems to match with the…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-02-21 Xuemei Zhang , Yuemin Yue , Xiaowei Tong , Kelin Wang , Xiangkun Qi , Chuxiong Deng , Martin Brandt

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate new techniques for computing multiday extreme precipitation taken from recent theoretical advancements in extreme value theory in the framework of dynamical systems, using historical precipitation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Ruethaichanok Kardkasem , Meagan Carney

Atmospheric nitrogen dioxide (NO2) over China at national level has been kept reducing since 2011 as seen from both satellite observations, ground-based measurements and bottom-up emission inventory (Liu et al., 2016; Irie et al., 2016;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-07-16 Rui Li , Haixu Bo , Yu Wang

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events since the beginning of the 21st century has led to the development of new methods to attribute extreme events to anthropogenic climate change. The way in which the extreme event is defined…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Pascal Meurer , Sebastian Buschow , Svenja Szemkus , Petra Friederichs
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