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Exploiting the geometric nature of statistical divergences, we devise a way to define associated induced uncertainty measures for discrete and finite probability distributions. We also report new uncertainty measures and discuss their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-29 Gautam Sharma , Sk Sazim

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

Within the calibration of material models, often the numerical results of a simulation model $y$ are compared with the experimental measurements $y^*$. Usually, the differences between measurements and simulation are minimized using least…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-14 Thomas Most

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski

In this second part of our two-part paper, we provide a detailed, frequentist framework for propagating uncertainties within our multivariate linear least squares model. This permits us to quantify the impact of uncertainties in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-09 Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan , Duncan Simpson , George Thorne , Geoffrey Parks

In Bayesian inference, an unknown measurement uncertainty is often quantified in terms of a Gamma distributed precision parameter, which is impractical when prior information on the standard deviation of the measurement uncertainty shall be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Manuel M. Eichenlaub

We develop a general method to quantify the uncertainties of parton distribution functions and their physical predictions, with emphasis on incorporating all relevant experimental constraints. The method uses the Hessian formalism to study…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-12-18 J. Pumplin , D. Stump , R. Brock , D. Casey , J. Huston , J. Kalk , H. L. Lai , W. K. Tung

We apply random matrix theory to study the impact of measurement uncertainty on dynamic mode decomposition. Specifically, when the measurements follow a normal probability density function, we show how the moments of that density propagate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 P. Algikar , P. Sharma , M. Netto , L. Mili

This paper discusses some problems possibly arising when approximating via Monte-Carlo simulations the distributions of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on the empirical distribution function. We argue that failing to re-estimate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-01 Marco Capasso , Lucia Alessi , Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

Roughness parameters that characterize contacting surfaces with regard to friction and wear are commonly stated without uncertainties, or with an uncertainty only taking into account a very limited amount of aspects such as repeatability of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 Dorothee Hüser , Jonathan Hüser , Sebastian Rief , Jörg Seewig , Peter Thomsen-Schmidt

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

Based on the q-exponential distribution which has been observed in more and more physical systems, the varentropy method is used to derive the uncertainty measure of such an abnormal distribution function. The uncertainty measure obtained…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-09-07 Congjie Ou , Aziz El Kaabouchi , Qiuping A. Wang , Jincan Chen

Traditional statistical approaches for estimating the parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution have dealt with precise information. However, in real world situations, some information about an underlying experimental process might be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Indranil Ghosh

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

We consider the power to reject false values of the parameter in Frequentist methods for the calculation of confidence intervals. We connect the power with the physical significance (reliability) of confidence intervals for a parameter…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2010-12-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

In the analysis of elastic-scattering experimental data, optical-model parameters (usually, depths of real and imaginary potentials) are fitted and conclusions are drawn analyzing their variations at bombardment energies close to the…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2015-03-16 Daniel Abriola , A. Arazi , J. Testoni , F. Gollan , G. V. Martí

In the context of industrially mass-manufactured products, quality management is based on physically inspecting a small sample from a large batch and reasoning about the batch's quality conformance. When complementing physical inspections…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-22 Simon Cramer , Tobias Müller , Robert H. Schmitt
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