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Marginal structural models (MSMs) allow for causal analysis of longitudinal data. The MSMs were originally developed as discrete time models. Recently, continuous-time MSMs were presented as a conceptually appealing alternative for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

Aalen's linear hazard rate regression model is a useful and increasingly popular alternative to Cox' multiplicative hazard rate model. It postulates that an individual has hazard rate function $h(s)=z_1\alpha_1(s)+\cdots+z_r\alpha_r(s)$ in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Nils Lid Hjort , Emil Aas Stoltenberg

Time-to-event analysis, also known as survival analysis, aims to predict the time of occurrence of an event, given a set of features. One of the major challenges in this area is dealing with censored data, which can make learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Hyunjun Lee , Junhyun Lee , Taehwa Choi , Jaewoo Kang , Sangbum Choi

Cross-classified data frequently arise in scientific fields such as education, healthcare, and social sciences. A common modeling strategy is to introduce crossed random effects within a regression framework. However, this approach often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Shota Takeishi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Large crossed data sets, described by generalized linear mixed models, have become increasingly common and provide challenges for statistical analysis. At very large sizes it becomes desirable to have the computational costs of estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-15 Katelyn Gao , Art B. Owen

Accidental damage is a typical component of motor insurance claim. Modeling of this nature generally involves analysis of past claim history and different characteristics of the insured objects and the policyholders. Generalized linear…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-11 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy

In the analysis of survival data, it is usually assumed that any unit will experience the event of interest if it is observed for a sufficient long time. However, one can explicitly assume that an unknown proportion of the population under…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-15 Vincent Bremhorst , Philippe Lambert

The heterogeneous multi-scale method (HMM) is a general strategy for dealing with problems involving multi-scales, with multi-physics, using multi-grids. It not only unifies several existing multi-scale methods, but also provide a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Weinan E , Bjorn Engquist

Multivariate time series analysis is a vital but challenging task, with multidisciplinary applicability, tackling the characterization of multiple interconnected variables over time and their dependencies. Traditional methodologies often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

The smooth piecewise-linear models cover a wide range of applications nowadays. Basically, there are two classes of them: models are transitional or hyperbolic according to their behaviour at the phase-transition zones. This study explored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ferreira , Iuri Emmanuel de Paula , Zocchi , Silvio Sandoval

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Suppose that we are given a time series where consecutive samples are believed to come from a probabilistic source, that the source changes from time to time and that the total number of sources is fixed. Our objective is to estimate the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Physics-based and statistic-based models for describing seismic occurrence are two sides of the same coin. In this article we compare the temporal organization of events obtained in a spring-block model for the seismic fault with the one…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-03 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang , Eugenio Lippiello

We present a technique for constructing suitable posterior probability distributions in situations for which the sampling distribution of the data is not known. This is very useful for modern scientific data analysis in the era of "big…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-30 Steven Gratton

Landslides are a common natural disaster that can cause casualties, property safety threats and economic losses. Therefore, it is important to understand or predict the probability of landslide occurrence at potentially risky sites. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Cheng Chen , Lei Fan

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

In contrast to the popular Cox model which presents a multiplicative covariate effect specification on the time to event hazards, the semiparametric additive risks model (ARM) offers an attractive additive specification, allowing for direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Tong Wang , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Samiran Sinha