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We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

We study the first-passage dynamics of a non-Markovian stochastic process with time-averaged feedback, which we model as a one-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process wherein the particle drift is modified by the empirical mean of its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Francesco Coghi , Romain Duvezin , John S. Wettlaufer

Imagine you walk in a plane. You move by making a step of a certain length per time interval in a chosen direction. Repeating this process by randomly sampling step length and turning angle defines a two-dimensional random walk in what we…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-01-05 Norberto Lucero Azuara , Rainer Klages

The dynamical evolution of dislocations in plastically deformed metals is controlled by both deterministic factors arising out of applied loads and stochastic effects appearing due to fluctuations of internal stress. Such type of stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-21 Amit K. Chattopadhyay , Elias C. Aifantis

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

Statistics of stochastic processes are crucially influenced by the boundary conditions. In one spatial dimension, for example, the first passage time distribution in semi-infinite space (one absorbing boundary) is markedly different from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-08-23 Yuta Sakamoto , Takahiro Sakaue

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

In this paper we analyze a chemostat model with wall growth where the input flow is affected by two different stochastic processes: the well-known standard Wiener process, which leads into several drawbacks from the biological point of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Javier López-de-la-Cruz

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

In this contribution, we introduce a general class of car-following models with an input-state-output port-Hamiltonian structure. We derive stability conditions and long-term behavior of the finite system with periodic boundaries and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Julia Ackermann , Matthias Ehrhardt , Thomas Kruse , Antoine Tordeux

In this paper, we analyze the use of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model dynamical systems subjected to bounded noisy perturbations. In order to discuss the main characteristics of this new approach we consider some basic models in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Tomás Caraballo , Renato Colucci , Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alain Rapaport

Inverse statistical physics aims at inferring models compatible with a set of empirical averages estimated from a high-dimensional dataset of independently distributed equilibrium configurations of a given system. However, in several…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-12 Edwin Rodriguez Horta , Alejandro Lage , Martin Weigt , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix

This article is devoted to the stochastic anticipating equations with the extended stochastic integral with respect to the Gaussian processes of a special type and its application to the smoothing problem in the case when noise is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrey A Dorogovtsev

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We present an asymptotic analysis of a stochastic two-compartmental cell division system with regulatory mechanisms inspired by Getto et al. (2013). The hematopoietic system is modeled as a two-compartment system, where the first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-30 Ren-Yi Wang , Marek Kimmel , Guodong Pang

We consider the unconstrained optimization problem whose objective function is composed of a smooth and a non-smooth conponents where the smooth component is the expectation a random function. This type of problem arises in some interesting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Qihang Lin , Xi Chen , Javier Pena

The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari
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