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The prevailing Direct Forecasting (DF) paradigm dominates Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) by forcing models to predict the entire future horizon in a single forward pass. While efficient, this rigid coupling of output and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jiaming Ma , Siyuan Mu , Ruilin Tang , Haofeng Ma , Qihe Huang , Zhengyang Zhou , Pengkun Wang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

This paper presents FDNet: a Focal Decomposed Network for efficient, robust and practical time series forecasting. We break away from conventional deep time series forecasting formulas which obtain prediction results from universal feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang , Huaxin Qiu

Physics-informed neural networks have been widely applied to partial differential equations with great success because the physics-informed loss essentially requires no observations or discretization. However, it is difficult to optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Yongho Kim , Yongho Choi

Long-term time series forecasting is a vital task and has a wide range of real applications. Recent methods focus on capturing the underlying patterns from one single domain (e.g. the time domain or the frequency domain), and have not taken…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Yuxiao Luo , Ziyu Lyu , Xingyu Huang

Federated Learning (FL) has emerged as a key approach for distributed machine learning, enhancing online personalization while ensuring user data privacy. Instead of sending private data to a central server as in traditional approaches, FL…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Francesco Fabbri , Xianghang Liu , Jack R. McKenzie , Bartlomiej Twardowski , Tri Kurniawan Wijaya

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Srashti Dwivedi , Sukanya Kundu , Goutam Kumar Kundu

Time series forecasting has important applications in financial analysis, weather forecasting, and traffic management. However, existing deep learning models are limited in processing non-stationary time series data because they cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Yuqi Xiong , Yang Wen

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

An evolving weighted neuro-neo-fuzzy-ANARX model and its learning procedures are introduced in the article. This system is basically used for time series forecasting. This system may be considered as a pool of elements that process data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-21 Zhengbing Hu , Yevgeniy V. Bodyanskiy , Oleksii K. Tyshchenko , Olena O. Boiko

Traffic prediction is a critical component of intelligent transportation systems, enabling applications such as congestion mitigation and accident risk prediction. While recent research has explored both graph-based and grid-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Hyeonseok Jin , Geonmin Kim , Kyungbaek Kim

Machine learning methods have been adopted in the literature as contenders to conventional methods to solve the energy time series forecasting (TSF) problems. Recently, deep learning methods have been emerged in the artificial intelligence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Hala Hamdoun , Alaa Sagheer , Hassan Youness

Time series forecasting typically needs to address non-stationary data with evolving trend and seasonal patterns. To address the non-stationarity, reversible instance normalization has been recently proposed to alleviate impacts from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Weiwei Ye , Songgaojun Deng , Qiaosha Zou , Ning Gui

We introduce a distance-based neural network model for regression, in which prediction uncertainty is quantified by a belief function on the real line. The model interprets the distances of the input vector to prototypes as pieces of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Thierry Denoeux

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

A key challenge in eXplainable Artificial Intelligence is the well-known tradeoff between the transparency of an algorithm (i.e., how easily a human can directly understand the algorithm, as opposed to receiving a post-hoc explanation), and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Mojtaba Yeganejou , Kimia Honari , Ryan Kluzinski , Scott Dick , Michael Lipsett , James Miller

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song