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Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

In this paper we develop a likelihood-free approach for population calibration, which involves finding distributions of model parameters when fed through the model produces a set of outputs that matches available population data. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-07 Christopher Drovandi , Brodie Lawson , Adrianne L Jenner , Alexander P Browning

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

The present paper proposes a novel Bayesian, computational strategy in the context of model-based inverse problems in elastostatics. On one hand we attempt to provide probabilistic estimates of the material properties and their spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-21 P. S. Koutsourelakis

The calibration of solid constitutive models with full-field experimental data is a long-standing challenge, especially in materials which undergo large deformation. In this paper, we propose a physics-informed deep-learning framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Craig M. Hamel , Kevin N. Long , Sharlotte L. B. Kramer

Constructing generative models for functional observations is an important task in statistical functional analysis. In general, functional data contains both phase (or x or horizontal) and amplitude (or y or vertical) variability. Tradi-…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-26 J. Derek Tucker , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

The problem of statistical calibration of a measuring instrument can be framed both in a statistical context as well as in an engineering context. In the first, the problem is dealt with by distinguishing between the 'classical' approach…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-15 Derick L. Rivers , Edward L. Boone

Linearly transforming stimulus representations of deep neural networks yields high-performing models of behavioral and neural responses to complex stimuli. But does the test accuracy of such predictions identify genuine representational…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-05 Itamar Avitan , Tal Golan

Inference of physical parameters from reference data is a well studied problem with many intricacies (inconsistent sets of data due to experimental systematic errors, approximate physical models...). The complexity is further increased when…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-06 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

We introduce a computational efficient data-driven framework suitable for quantifying the uncertainty in physical parameters and model formulation of computer models, represented by differential equations. We construct physics-informed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Michail Spitieris , Ingelin Steinsland

It is argued that the Calibrated Bayesian (CB) approach to statistical inference capitalizes on the strength of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference. In the CB approach, inferences under a particular model are…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-10 Roderick Little

We study regression using functional predictors in situations where these functions contain both phase and amplitude variability. In other words, the functions are misaligned due to errors in time measurements, and these errors can…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-26 J. Derek Tucker , John Lewis , Anuj Srivastava

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

A computer model can be used for predicting an output only after specifying the values of some unknown physical constants known as calibration parameters. The unknown calibration parameters can be estimated from real data by conducting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-18 Arvind Krishna , V. Roshan Joseph , Shan Ba , William A. Brenneman , William R. Myers

Many scientific and engineering applications require fitting regression models that are nonlinear in the parameters. Advances in computer hardware and software in recent decades have made it easier to fit such models. Relative to fitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Peng Liu , William Q. Meeker

With new advancements in technology, it is now possible to collect data for a variety of different metrics describing tumor growth, including tumor volume, composition, and vascularity, among others. For any proposed model of tumor growth…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-08 Heyrim Cho , Allison L. Lewis , Kathleen M. Storey

Estimation of model parameters of computer simulators, also known as calibration, is an important topic in many engineering applications. In this paper, we consider the calibration of computer model parameters with the help of engineering…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Yan Wang , Xiaowei Yue , Rui Tuo , Jeffrey H. Hunt , Jianjun Shi

We present a Bayesian nonparametric system reliability model which scales well and provides a great deal of flexibility in modeling. The Bayesian approach naturally handles the disparate amounts of component and subsystem data that may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Richard L. Warr , Jeremy M. Meyer , Jackson T. Curtis

The mean field variational Bayes (VB) algorithm implemented in Stan is relatively fast and efficient, making it feasible to produce model-estimated official statistics on a rapid timeline. Yet, while consistent point estimates of parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Terrance D. Savitsky , Julie Gershunskaya
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