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Financial news is essential for accurate market prediction, but evolving narratives across macroeconomic regimes introduce semantic and causal drift that weaken model reliability. We present an evaluation framework to quantify robustness in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-02 Zhongtian Sun , Chenghao Xiao , Anoushka Harit , Jongmin Yu

Financial disclosure analysis and Knowledge extraction is an important financial analysis problem. Prevailing methods depend predominantly on quantitative ratios and techniques, which suffer from limitations like window dressing and past…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Sridhar Ravula

Financial risk prediction plays a crucial role in the financial sector. Machine learning methods have been widely applied for automatically detecting potential risks and thus saving the cost of labor. However, the development in this field…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Yuwei Yin , Yazheng Yang , Jian Yang , Qi Liu

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

Sentiment analysis is a vital tool for uncovering insights from financial articles, news, and social media, shaping our understanding of market movements. Despite the impressive capabilities of large language models (LLMs) in financial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Boyu Zhang , Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu

Anticipating price developments in financial markets is a topic of continued interest in forecasting. Funneled by advancements in deep learning and natural language processing (NLP) together with the availability of vast amounts of textual…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Duygu Ider , Stefan Lessmann

This paper explores the application of Natural Language Processing (NLP) in financial risk detection. By constructing an NLP-based financial risk detection model, this study aims to identify and predict potential risks in financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Liyang Wang , Yu Cheng , Ao Xiang , Jingyu Zhang , Haowei Yang

Recent LLMs have demonstrated promising ability in solving finance related problems. However, applying LLMs in real-world finance application remains challenging due to its high risk and high stakes property. This paper introduces FinTrust,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tiansheng Hu , Tongyan Hu , Liuyang Bai , Yilun Zhao , Arman Cohan , Chen Zhao

Forecasting is a task that is difficult to evaluate: the ground truth can only be known in the future. Recent work showing LLM forecasters rapidly approaching human-level performance begs the question: how can we benchmark and evaluate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Daniel Paleka , Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir , Alejandro Alvarez , Vineeth Bhat , Adam Shen , Evan Wang , Florian Tramèr

Forecasting financial time series (FTS) is an essential field in finance and economics that anticipates market movements in financial markets. This paper investigates the accuracy of text mining and technical analyses in forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-01 Ali Lashgari

The financial sector, a pivotal force in economic development, increasingly uses the intelligent technologies such as natural language processing to enhance data processing and insight extraction. This research paper through a review…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Denisa Millo , Blerina Vika , Nevila Baci

The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

Consistency, which refers to the capability of generating the same predictions for semantically similar contexts, is a highly desirable property for a sound language understanding model. Although recent pretrained language models (PLMs)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Myeongjun Jang , Deuk Sin Kwon , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Finance-related news such as Bloomberg News, CNN Business and Forbes are valuable sources of real data for market screening systems. In news, an expert shares opinions beyond plain technical analyses that include context such as political,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Silvia García-Méndez , Francisco de Arriba-Pérez , Ana Barros-Vila , Francisco J. González-Castaño

Extreme pricing anomalies may occur unexpectedly without a trivial cause, and equity traders typically experience a meticulous process to source disparate information and analyze its reliability before integrating it into the trusted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Pok Wah Chan

Financial prediction from long documents involves significant challenges, as actionable signals are often sparse and obscured by noise, and the optimal LLM for generating embeddings varies across tasks and time periods. In this paper, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zirui He , Huopu Zhang , Yanguang Liu , Sirui Wu , Mengnan Du

Financial markets exhibit complex dynamics where localized events trigger ripple effects across entities. Previous event studies, constrained by static single-company analyses and simplistic assumptions, fail to capture these ripple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Yuanjian Xu , Jianing Hao , Kunsheng Tang , Jingnan Chen , Anxian Liu , Peng Liu , Guang Zhang

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

Financial sentiment analysis (FSA) has attracted significant attention, and recent studies increasingly explore large language models (LLMs) for this field. Yet most work evaluates only classification metrics, leaving unclear whether…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Zijian Zhang , Rong Fu , Yangfan He , Xinze Shen , Yanlong Wang , Xiaojing Du , Haochen You , Jiazhao Shi , Simon Fong

Performance prediction, the task of estimating a system's performance without performing experiments, allows us to reduce the experimental burden caused by the combinatorial explosion of different datasets, languages, tasks, and models. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Zihuiwen Ye , Pengfei Liu , Jinlan Fu , Graham Neubig
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