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A central challenge in any study of the effects of beliefs on outcomes, such as decisions and behavior, is the risk of omitted variables bias. Omitted variables, frequently unmeasured or even unknown, can induce correlations between beliefs…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Raanan Sulitzeanu-Kenan , Micha Mandel , Yosef Rinott

Cohort Shapley value is a model-free method of variable importance grounded in game theory that does not use any unobserved and potentially impossible feature combinations. We use it to evaluate algorithmic fairness, using the well known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin B. Seiler

Voting is a commonly applied method for the aggregation of the preferences of multiple agents into a joint decision. If preferences are binary, i.e., "yes" and "no", every voting system can be described by a (monotone) Boolean function…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Martin Olsen , Sascha Kurz , Xavier Molinero

For feature selection and related problems, we introduce the notion of classification game, a cooperative game, with features as players and hinge loss based characteristic function and relate a feature's contribution to Shapley value based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Sandhya Tripathi , N. Hemachandra , Prashant Trivedi

As complex machine learning models continue to find applications in high-stakes decision-making scenarios, it is crucial that we can explain and understand their predictions. Post-hoc explanation methods provide useful insights by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Beepul Bharti , Paul Yi , Jeremias Sulam

Feature attribution methods help make machine learning-based inference explainable by determining how much one or several features have contributed to a model's output. A particularly popular attribution method is based on the Shapley value…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Filip Naudot , Tobias Sundqvist , Timotheus Kampik

Probabilistic logic programs are logic programs in which some of the facts are annotated with probabilities. This paper investigates how classical inference and learning tasks known from the graphical model community can be tackled for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Daan Fierens , Guy Van den Broeck , Joris Renkens , Dimitar Shterionov , Bernd Gutmann , Ingo Thon , Gerda Janssens , Luc De Raedt

Variable importance (VI) tools describe how much covariates contribute to a prediction model's accuracy. However, important variables for one well-performing model (for example, a linear model $f(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{x}^{T}\beta$ with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Aaron Fisher , Cynthia Rudin , Francesca Dominici

In spite of increased attention on explainable machine learning models, explaining multi-output predictions has not yet been extensively addressed. Methods that use Shapley values to attribute feature contributions to the decision making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Célia Wafa Ayad , Thomas Bonnier , Benjamin Bosch , Jesse Read

Economists often estimate causal effects of policies on multiple outcomes and summarize them into scalar measures of cost-effectiveness or welfare, such as the Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF). In many settings, microdata underlying…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Vedant Vohra

We explain why numbers occurring in the classification of polygon spaces coincide with numbers of self-dual equivalence classes of threshold functions, or of regular Boolean functions, or of decisive weighted majority games.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Jean-Claude Hausmann

In this paper, we study a bi-criterion framework for assessing scoring functions in the context of binary classification. The positive and negative predictive values (ppv and npv, respectively) are conditional probabilities of the true…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-13 Keshav Vemuri , Nathan Srebro

The construction of numerical value scales (or priority values) is a recurrent topic in decision-aiding research. However, in real contexts, uncertainty and limited cognitive precision often lead decision-makers to provide interval…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Diego García-Zamora , José Rui Figueira

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) in recent years have made a dramatic impact in science, technology and industry, yet the theoretical mechanism of CNN architecture design remains surprisingly vague. The CNN neurons, including its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Kamil Adamczewski , Mijung Park

Decision trees are one of the most fundamental computational models for computing Boolean functions $f : \{0, 1\}^n \mapsto \{0, 1\}$. It is well-known that the depth and size of decision trees are closely related to time and number of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Deepu Benson , Balagopal Komarath , Jayalal Sarma , Nalli Sai Soumya

The Shapley value is one of the most widely used measures of feature importance partly as it measures a feature's average effect on a model's prediction. We introduce joint Shapley values, which directly extend Shapley's axioms and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-11 Chris Harris , Richard Pymar , Colin Rowat

Do large language models (LLMs) represent concepts abstractly, i.e., independent of input format? We revisit Function Vectors (FVs), compact representations of in-context learning (ICL) tasks that causally drive task performance. Across…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Gustaw Opiełka , Hannes Rosenbusch , Claire E. Stevenson

Many large MDPs can be represented compactly using a dynamic Bayesian network. Although the structure of the value function does not retain the structure of the process, recent work has shown that value functions in factored MDPs can often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Daphne Koller , Ron Parr

Many existing approaches for estimating feature importance are problematic because they ignore or hide dependencies among features. A causal graph, which encodes the relationships among input variables, can aid in assigning feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Jiaxuan Wang , Jenna Wiens , Scott Lundberg

Research on summarization has mainly been driven by empirical approaches, crafting systems to perform well on standard datasets with the notion of information Importance remaining latent. We argue that establishing theoretical models of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Maxime Peyrard