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A level-dependent L\'evy process solves the stochastic differential equation $dU(t) = dX(t)-{\phi}(U(t)) dt$, where $X$ is a spectrally negative L\'evy process. A special case is a multi-refracted L\'evy process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Irmina Czarna , José-Luis Pérez , Tomasz Rolski , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We develop a new methodology for the fluctuation theory of continuous-time skip-free Markov chains, extending the recent work of Choi and Patie [5] for discrete-time skip-free Markov chains. As the main application we use it to derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 R. Loeffen , P. Patie , J. Wang

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

We revisit the dividend payment problem in the dual model of Avanzi et al. ([2], [1], and [3]). Using the fluctuation theory of spectrally positive L\'{e}vy processes, we give a short exposition in which we show the optimality of barrier…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Andreas Kyprianou , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

As well known, all functionals of a Markov process may be expressed in terms of the generator operator, modulo some analytic work. In the case of spectrally negative Markov processes however, it is conjectured that everything can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Florin Avram , Xiaowen Zhou

An increasing number of experimental studies employ single particle tracking to probe the physical environment in complex systems. We here propose and discuss new methods to analyze the time series of the particle traces, in particular, for…

This paper studies Brownian motion subject to the occurrence of a minimal length excursion below a given excursion level. The law of this process is determined. The characterization is explicit and shows by a layer construction how the law…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Michael Schröder

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We study the distribution of the area under the normalized excursion of a spectrally positive stable L{\'e}vy process L, as well as the area under its meander, and under L conditioned to stay positive. Our results involve a special case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Christophe Profeta

In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen , Ying Shen

We revisit the issue of Lagrangian irreversibility in the context of recent results [Xu, et al., PNAS, 111, 7558 (2014)] on flight-crash events in turbulent flows and show how extreme events in the Eulerian dissipation statistics are…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-22 Jason R. Picardo , Akshay Bhatnagar , Samriddhi Sankar Ray

This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Jostein Paulsen

In this paper a quantitative analysis of the ruin probability in finite time of discrete risk process with proportional reinsurance and investment of finance surplus is focused on. It is assumed that the total loss on a unit interval has a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Helena Jasiulewicz , Wojciech Kordecki

We focus on the problem of estimating and quantifying uncertainties on the excursion set of a function under a limited evaluation budget. We adopt a Bayesian approach where the objective function is assumed to be a realization of a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Dario Azzimonti , Julien Bect , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

We study a Brownian excursion on the time interval $\left|t\right|\leq T$, conditioned to stay above a moving wall $x_{0}\left(t\right)$ such that $x_0\left(-T\right)=x_0\left(T\right)=0$, and $x_{0}\left(\left|t\right|<T\right)>0$. For a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-28 Naftali R. Smith , Baruch Meerson

In this paper, we study fluctuation identities for spectrally negative L\'evy processes killed by a general class of additive functionals. We consider positive co-natural additive functionals (PcNAFs), which include as special cases both…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez

Estimating and controlling large risks has become one of the main concern of financial institutions. This requires the development of adequate statistical models and theoretical tools (which go beyond the traditionnal theories based on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud