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Related papers: Measuring Surprise in the Wild

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There is quickly growing literature on machine-learned models that predict human driving trajectories in road traffic. These models focus their learning on low-dimensional error metrics, for example average distance between model-generated…

Surprise describes a range of phenomena from unexpected events to behavioral responses. We propose a measure of surprise and use it for surprise-driven learning. Our surprise measure takes into account data likelihood as well as the degree…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-03 Mohammadjavad Faraji , Kerstin Preuschoff , Wulfram Gerstner

There is currently no established method for evaluating human response timing across a range of naturalistic traffic conflict types. Traditional notions derived from controlled experiments, such as perception-response time, fail to account…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Johan Engström , Shu-Yuan Liu , Azadeh Dinparastdjadid , Camelia Simoiu

Performance evaluation of urban autonomous vehicles requires a realistic model of the behavior of other road users in the environment. Learning such models from data involves collecting naturalistic data of real-world human behavior. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-10 Atrisha Sarkar , Krzysztof Czarnecki

Understanding how to engage users is a critical question in many applications. Previous research has shown that unexpected or astonishing events can attract user attention, leading to positive outcomes such as engagement and learning. In…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-07-18 Nalin Chhibber , Rohail Syed , Mengqiu Teng , Joslin Goh , Kevyn Collins-Thompson , Edith Law

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

Validating the safety and performance of an autonomous vehicle (AV) requires benchmarking on real-world driving logs. However, typical driving logs contain mostly uneventful scenarios with minimal interactions between road users.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Wenhao Ding , Sushant Veer , Karen Leung , Yulong Cao , Marco Pavone

A major challenge for autonomous vehicles is handling interactive scenarios, such as highway merging, with human-driven vehicles. A better understanding of human interactive behaviour could help address this challenge. Such understanding…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-05-30 O. Siebinga , A. Zgonnikov , D. A. Abbink

The development of automated vehicles has the potential to revolutionize transportation, but they are currently unable to ensure a safe and time-efficient driving style. Reliable models predicting human behavior are essential for overcoming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Julian F. Schumann , Aravinda Ramakrishnan Srinivasan , Jens Kober , Gustav Markkula , Arkady Zgonnikov

Traffic Intersections are vital to urban road networks as they regulate the movement of people and goods. However, they are regions of conflicting trajectories and are prone to accidents. Deep Generative models of traffic dynamics at…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Yash Ranjan , Rahul Sengupta , Anand Rangarajan , Sanjay Ranka

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

The human intrinsic desire to pursue knowledge, also known as curiosity, is considered essential in the process of skill acquisition. With the aid of artificial curiosity, we could equip current techniques for control, such as Reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Pietro Mazzaglia , Ozan Catal , Tim Verbelen , Bart Dhoedt

Compute and memory constraints have historically prevented traffic simulation software users from fully utilizing the predictive models underlying them. When calibrating car-following models, particularly, accommodations have included 1)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-08 Franklin Abodo , Andrew Berthaume , Stephen Zitzow-Childs , Leonardo Bobadilla

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Humans navigate complex environments in an organized yet flexible manner, adapting to the context and implicit social rules. Understanding these naturally learned patterns of behavior is essential for applications such as autonomous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Robin Karlsson , Erik Sjoberg

In recent years there have been remarkable advancements in autonomous driving. While autonomous vehicles demonstrate high performance in closed-set conditions, they encounter difficulties when confronted with unexpected situations. At the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Daniel Bogdoll , Lukas Bosch , Tim Joseph , Helen Gremmelmaier , Yitian Yang , J. Marius Zöllner

Autonomous vehicles currently suffer from a time-inefficient driving style caused by uncertainty about human behavior in traffic interactions. Accurate and reliable prediction models enabling more efficient trajectory planning could make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Julian Frederik Schumann , Jens Kober , Arkady Zgonnikov

This work presents a methodology for modeling and predicting human behavior in settings with N humans interacting in highly multimodal scenarios (i.e. where there are many possible highly-distinct futures). A motivating example includes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Boris Ivanovic , Edward Schmerling , Karen Leung , Marco Pavone

Autonomous vehicles use a variety of sensors and machine-learned models to predict the behavior of surrounding road users. Most of the machine-learned models in the literature focus on quantitative error metrics like the root mean square…

The most common type of accident on the road is a rear-end crash. These crashes have a significant negative impact on traffic flow and are frequently fatal. To gain a more practical understanding of these scenarios, it is necessary to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Armstrong Aboah , Abdul Rashid Mussah , Yaw Adu-Gyamfi
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