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Computer experiments refer to the study of real systems using complex simulation models. They have been widely used as alternatives to physical experiments. Design and analysis of computer experiments have attracted great attention in past…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Anita Shahrokhian , Xinwei Deng , C. Devon Lin

The real-world testing of decisions made using causal machine learning models is an essential prerequisite for their successful application. We focus on evaluating and improving contextual treatment assignment decisions: these are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems, where the experimental design variables have a certain multiway structure. Given $d$ different experimental variables with $m_i$ choices per design variable $1 \le…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Hugo Díaz , Arvind K. Saibaba , Srinivas Eswar , Vishwas Rao , Zichao Wendy Di

Simulation models are an absolute necessity in the human and social sciences, which can only very exceptionally use experimental science methods to construct their knowledge. Models enable the simulation of social processes by replacing the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-06 J. Raimbault , D. Pumain

Scientists often run experiments to distinguish competing theories. This requires patience, rigor, and ingenuity - there is often a large space of possible experiments one could run. But we need not comb this space by hand - if we represent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-18 Long Ouyang , Michael Henry Tessler , Daniel Ly , Noah Goodman

We consider the problem of learning structures and parameters of Continuous-time Bayesian Networks (CTBNs) from time-course data under minimal experimental resources. In practice, the cost of generating experimental data poses a bottleneck,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-12 Dominik Linzner , Heinz Koeppl

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a framework that uses statistical models and decision making under uncertainty to optimise the cost and performance of a scientific experiment. Sequential BED, as opposed to static BED, considers the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-23 Steven Kleinegesse , Christopher Drovandi , Michael U. Gutmann

Experimental (design) optimization is a key driver in designing and discovering new products and processes. Bayesian Optimization (BO) is an effective tool for optimizing expensive and black-box experimental design processes. While Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Arun Kumar A , Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Stewart Greenhill , Svetha Venkatesh

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

In recent years, neuroscience has made significant progress in building large-scale artificial neural network (ANN) models of brain activity and behavior. However, there is no consensus on the most efficient ways to collect data and design…

The performance of many machine learning models depends on their hyper-parameter settings. Bayesian Optimization has become a successful tool for hyper-parameter optimization of machine learning algorithms, which aims to identify optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Lidan Wang , Franck Dernoncourt , Trung Bui

Computational models in fields such as computational neuroscience are often evaluated via stochastic simulation or numerical approximation. Fitting these models implies a difficult optimization problem over complex, possibly noisy parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-03 Luigi Acerbi , Wei Ji Ma

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a powerful tool to reduce the cost of running a sequence of experiments. When based on the Expected Information Gain (EIG), design optimization corresponds to the maximization of some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Jacopo Iollo , Christophe Heinkelé , Pierre Alliez , Florence Forbes

Despite differing from the human language processing mechanism in implementation and algorithms, current language models demonstrate remarkable human-like or surpassing language capabilities. Should computational language models be employed…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Shaonan Wang , Jingyuan Sun , Yunhao Zhang , Nan Lin , Marie-Francine Moens , Chengqing Zong

We introduce implicit Deep Adaptive Design (iDAD), a new method for performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models. iDAD amortizes the cost of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) by learning a design policy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Desi R. Ivanova , Adam Foster , Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann , Tom Rainforth

In many science and industry settings, a central challenge is designing experiments under time and budget constraints. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a paradigm to pick maximally informative designs that has been widely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Roubing Tang , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

Traditional scientific discovery relies on an iterative hypothesise-experiment-refine cycle that has driven progress for centuries, but its intuitive, ad-hoc implementation often wastes resources, yields inefficient designs, and misses…

We consider the problem of computing optimal experimental design on a finite design space with respect to a compound Bayes risk criterion, which includes the linear criterion for prediction in a random coefficient regression model. We show…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-08 Radoslav Harman , Maryna Prus