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We consider a simulation optimization problem for a context-dependent decision-making. A Gaussian mixture model is proposed to capture the performance clustering phenomena of context-dependent designs. Under a Bayesian framework, we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Haidong Li , Henry Lam , Yijie Peng

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

Robust ranking and selection (R&S) is an important and challenging variation of conventional R&S that seeks to select the best alternative among a finite set of alternatives. It captures the common input uncertainty in the simulation model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yuchen Wan , Zaile Li , L. Jeff Hong

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

When sales of a product are affected by randomness in demand, retailers can use dynamic pricing strategies to maximise their profits. In this article the pricing problem is formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Asbjørn N. Riseth , Jeff N. Dewynne , Chris L. Farmer

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

We consider the optimal allocation of generic resources among multiple generic entities of interest over a finite planning horizon, where each entity generates stochastic returns as a function of its resource allocation during each period.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Yingdong Lu , Siva Theja Maguluri , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We address the design and synthesis of optimal control strategies for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems. Such systems may be deterministic nonlinear systems evolving from random initial states, or systems driven by random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Panos Lambrianides , Qi Gong , Daniele Venturi

We propose a novel approach to allocating resources for expensive simulations of high fidelity models when used in a multifidelity framework. Allocation decisions that distribute computational resources across several simulation models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Daniel J. Perry , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan , Ross T. Whitaker

We solve a sequential decision-making problem under uncertainty that takes into account the failure probability of a task. This problem cannot be handled by the stochastic shortest path problem, which is the standard model for sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Ritsusamuel Otsubo

We consider the problem of optimally controlling stochastic, Markovian systems subject to joint chance constraints over a finite-time horizon. For such problems, standard Dynamic Programming is inapplicable due to the time correlation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Niklas Schmid , Marta Fochesato , Sarah H. Q. Li , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

We study the design of decision-making mechanism for resource allocations over a multi-agent system in a dynamic environment. Agents' privately observed preference over resources evolves over time and the population is dynamic due to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-20 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

Any strategy used to distribute a robot ensemble over a set of sequential tasks is subject to inaccuracy due to robot-level uncertainties and environmental influences on the robots' behavior. We approach the problem of inaccuracy during…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Thales C. Silva , Victoria Edwards , M. Ani Hsieh

We address multi-robot safe mission planning in uncertain dynamic environments. This problem arises in several applications including safety-critical exploration, surveillance, and emergency rescue missions. Computation of a multi-robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Daniel Tihanyi , Yimeng Lu , Orcun Karaca , Maryam Kamgarpour

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf

It has long been observed that the performance of evolutionary algorithms and other randomized search heuristics can benefit from a non-static choice of the parameters that steer their optimization behavior. Mechanisms that identify…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-18 André Biedenkapp , Nguyen Dang , Martin S. Krejca , Frank Hutter , Carola Doerr

The paper investigates stochastic resource allocation problems with scarce, reusable resources and non-preemtive, time-dependent, interconnected tasks. This approach is a natural generalization of several standard resource management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Balázs Csanád Csáji , László Monostori

This paper studies the robust optimal gain selection problem for financial trading systems, formulated within a \emph{double linear policy} framework, which allocates capital across long and short positions. The key objective is to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Chung-Han Hsieh

We provide an overview on how to use the measurable selection techniques to derive the dynamic programming principle for a general stochastic optimal control/stopping problem. By considering its martingale problem formulation on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Nicole El Karoui , Xiaolu Tan