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Related papers: Mechanism Design without Rational Expectations

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The concept of causal abstraction got recently popularised to demystify the opaque decision-making processes of machine learning models; in short, a neural network can be abstracted as a higher-level algorithm if there exists a function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Denis Sutter , Julian Minder , Thomas Hofmann , Tiago Pimentel

In this paper, we build a new test of rational expectations based on the marginal distributions of realizations and subjective beliefs. This test is widely applicable, including in the common situation where realizations and beliefs are…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

We study the social efficiency of bilateral trade between a seller and a buyer. In the classical Bayesian setting, the celebrated Myerson-Satterthwaite impossibility theorem states that no Bayesian incentive-compatible, individually…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yuan Deng , Jieming Mao , Balasubramanian Sivan , Kangning Wang , Jinzhao Wu

Evidential cooperation in large worlds (ECL) refers to the idea that humans and other agents can benefit by cooperating with similar agents with differing values in causally disconnected parts of a large universe. Cooperating provides…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-10 Johannes Treutlein

Building a machine learning solution in real-life applications often involves the decomposition of the problem into multiple models of various complexity. This has advantages in terms of overall performance, better interpretability of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Bashar Awwad Shiekh Hasan , Kate Kelly

Classification models used in brain-computer interface (BCI) are usually designed for a single BCI paradigm. This requires the redevelopment of the model when applying it to a new BCI paradigm, resulting in repeated costs and effort.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-14 Gaojie Zhou , Junhua Li

We provide a game-theoretic analysis of consensus, assuming that processes are controlled by rational agents and may fail by crashing. We consider agents that \emph{care only about consensus}: that is, (a) an agent's utility depends only on…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Joseph Y. Halpern , Xavier Vilaca

We present an efficient reduction that converts any machine learning algorithm into an interactive protocol, enabling collaboration with another party (e.g., a human) to achieve consensus on predictions and improve accuracy. This approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Natalie Collina , Surbhi Goel , Varun Gupta , Aaron Roth

Our goal is for agents to optimize the right reward function, despite how difficult it is for us to specify what that is. Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) enables us to infer reward functions from demonstrations, but it usually assumes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Rohin Shah , Noah Gundotra , Pieter Abbeel , Anca D. Dragan

Human concept learning is typically active: learners choose which instances to query or test in order to reduce uncertainty about an underlying rule or category. Active concept learning must balance informativeness of queries against the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Anirudh Chari , Neil Pattanaik

We consider the probabilistic applicative bisimilarity (PAB), a coinductive relation comparing the applicative behaviour of probabilistic untyped lambda terms according to a specific operational semantics. This notion has been studied with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Gianluca Curzi , Michele Pagani

We consider the problem of maximizing the gains from trade (GFT) in two-sided markets. The seminal impossibility result by Myerson and Satterthwaite shows that even for bilateral trade, there is no individually rational (IR), Bayesian…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Yang Cai , Christopher Liaw , Aranyak Mehta , Mingfei Zhao

We present a nonparametric Bayesian joint model for multivariate continuous and categorical variables, with the intention of developing a flexible engine for multiple imputation of missing values. The model fuses Dirichlet process mixtures…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-14 Jared S. Murray , Jerome P. Reiter

Datasets are growing not just in size but in complexity, creating a demand for rich models and quantification of uncertainty. Bayesian methods are an excellent fit for this demand, but scaling Bayesian inference is a challenge. In response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-23 Elaine Angelino , Matthew James Johnson , Ryan P. Adams

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Giulia Denevi , Massimiliano Pontil , Carlo Ciliberto

There is a broad recognition that commitment-based mechanisms can promote coordination and cooperative behaviours in both biological populations and self-organised multi-agent systems by making individuals' intentions explicit prior to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Ndidi Bianca Ogbo , Zhao Song , The Anh Han

Here we introduce the idea of using rational expectations, a core concept in economics and finance, as a tool to predict the optimal failure time for a wide class of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems. We illustrate the concept by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-21 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Roy Cerqueti , Jessica Riccioni

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

Epidemiologists have a growing interest in employing computational approaches to solve analytic problems, with simulation being arguably the most accessible among all approaches. While previous literature discussed the utility of simulation…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-22 Boyi Guo , Linzi Li , Jacqueline E. Rudolph

Algorithmic Mechanism Design attempts to marry computation and incentives, mainly by leveraging monetary transfers between designer and selfish agents involved. This is principally because in absence of money, very little can be done to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-02 Dimitris Fotakis , Piotr Krysta , Carmine Ventre
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