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At present, most surface-quality prediction methods can only perform single-task prediction which results in under-utilised datasets, repetitive work and increased experimental costs. To counter this, the authors propose a Bayesian…

Equivariant models leverage prior knowledge on symmetries to improve predictive performance, but misspecified architectural constraints can harm it instead. While work has explored learning or relaxing constraints, selecting among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans , Dharmesh Tailor , Erik J. Bekkers

The goal of this paper is to compare several widely used Bayesian model selection methods in practical model selection problems, highlight their differences and give recommendations about the preferred approaches. We focus on the variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Clustering task of mixed data is a challenging problem. In a probabilistic framework, the main difficulty is due to a shortage of conventional distributions for such data. In this paper, we propose to achieve the mixed data clustering with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-01 Matthieu Marbac , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

Bayesian model averaging enables one to combine the disparate predictions of a number of models in a coherent fashion, leading to superior predictive performance. The improvement in performance arises from averaging models that make…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-01 Qingzhao Yu , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

We study the convergence properties of a class of data augmentation algorithms targeting posterior distributions of Bayesian lasso models with log-concave likelihoods. Leveraging isoperimetric inequalities, we derive a generic convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Jingkai Cui , Qian Qin

Bayesian mixture models are widely used for clustering of high-dimensional data with appropriate uncertainty quantification. However, as the dimension of the observations increases, posterior inference often tends to favor too many or too…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

Probabilistic mixture models have been widely used for different machine learning and pattern recognition tasks such as clustering, dimensionality reduction, and classification. In this paper, we focus on trying to solve the most common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Gustavo A Valencia-Zapata , Daniel Mejia , Gerhard Klimeck , Michael Zentner , Okan Ersoy

Mixture models whose components have skewed hypercube contours are developed via a generalization of the multivariate shifted asymmetric Laplace density. Specifically, we develop mixtures of multiple scaled shifted asymmetric Laplace…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Brian C. Franczak , Cristina Tortora , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Structure and parameters in a Bayesian network uniquely specify the probability distribution of the modeled domain. The locality of both structure and probabilistic information are the great benefits of Bayesian networks and require the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Volker Tresp , Michael Haft , Reimar Hofmann

In this review, we assess the use of Bayesian methods in model predictive control (MPC), focusing on neural-network-based modeling, control design, and uncertainty quantification. We systematically analyze individual studies and how they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Asli Karacelik

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

Model-based clustering is widely-used in a variety of application areas. However, fundamental concerns remain about robustness. In particular, results can be sensitive to the choice of kernel representing the within-cluster data density.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-27 Leo L Duan , David B Dunson

We consider comparisons of statistical learning algorithms using multiple data sets, via leave-one-in cross-study validation: each of the algorithms is trained on one data set; the resulting model is then validated on each remaining data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Lorenzo Trippa , Levi Waldron , Curtis Huttenhower , Giovanni Parmigiani

Bayesian optimization works effectively optimizing parameters in black-box problems. However, this method did not work for high-dimensional parameters in limited trials. Parameters can be efficiently explored by nonlinearly embedding them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shoki Miyagawa , Atsuyoshi Yano , Naoko Sawada , Isamu Ogawa

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

Mixture models are a standard tool in statistical analyses, widely used for density modeling and model-based clustering. In this work, we propose a Bayesian mixture model with repulsion between mixture components. Such repulsion helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Hanxi Sun , Boqian Zhang , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

Normalizing flows are a widely used class of latent-variable generative models with a tractable likelihood. Affine-coupling (Dinh et al, 2014-16) models are a particularly common type of normalizing flows, for which the Jacobian of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Holden Lee , Chirag Pabbaraju , Anish Sevekari , Andrej Risteski

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West
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