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Accurately determining the outcome of an election is a complex task with many potential sources of error, ranging from software glitches in voting machines to procedural lapses to outright fraud. Risk-limiting audits (RLA) are statistically…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ian Waudby-Smith , Philip B. Stark , Aaditya Ramdas

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are techniques for verifying the outcomes of large elections. While they provide rigorous guarantees of correctness, widespread adoption has been impeded by both efficiency concerns and the fact they offer…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Benjamin Fuller , Rashmi Pai , Alexander Russell

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) can provide routine, affirmative evidence that reported election outcomes are correct by checking a random sample of cast ballots. An efficient RLA requires checking relatively few ballots. Here we construct…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-16 Jacob Spertus

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) for many social choice functions can be reduced to testing sets of null hypotheses of the form "the average of this list is not greater than 1/2" for a collection of finite lists of nonnegative numbers. Such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-26 Philip B. Stark

We propose a new method of learning from positive and unlabeled (PU) examples in highly imbalanced datasets. Many real-world problems, such as disease gene identification, targeted marketing, fraud detection, and recommender systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Elias Zavitsanos , Georgios Paliouras

BRAVO, the most widely tried method for risk-limiting election audits, cannot accommodate sampling without replacement or stratified sampling, which can improve efficiency and may be required by law. It applies only to ballot-polling…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Philip B. Stark

Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit systematic biases across demographic groups. Auditing is proposed as an accountability tool for black-box LLM applications, but suffers from resource-intensive query access. We conceptualise auditing as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 David Hartmann , Lena Pohlmann , Lelia Hanslik , Noah Gießing , Bettina Berendt , Pieter Delobelle

An election audit is risk-limiting if the audit limits (to a pre-specified threshold) the chance that an erroneous electoral outcome will be certified. Extant methods for auditing instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections are either not…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Alexander Ek , Philip B. Stark , Peter J. Stuckey , Damjan Vukcevic

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, particularly large language models (LLMs), in finance has garnered increasing academic attention. Despite progress, existing studies predominantly focus on tasks like financial…

Machine learning (ML) models often exhibit bias that can exacerbate inequities in biomedical applications. Fairness auditing, the process of evaluating a model's performance across subpopulations, is critical for identifying and mitigating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jianhui Gao , Jessica Gronsbell

Preference-based alignment like Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) learns from pairwise preferences, yet the labels are often noisy and inconsistent. Existing uncertainty-aware approaches weight preferences, but ignore a more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Tiejin Chen , Xiaoou Liu , Vishnu Nandam , Kuan-Ru Liou , Hua Wei

Financial statement auditing is conducted under a risk-based evidence approach to obtain reasonable assurance. In practice, auditors often perform additional sampling or related procedures when an initial sample does not provide a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Masahiro Kato , Kei Nakagawa

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) offer a statistical guarantee: if a full manual tally of the paper ballots would show that the reported election outcome is wrong, an RLA has a known minimum chance of leading to a full manual tally. RLAs…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-13 Kellie Ottoboni , Philip B. Stark , Mark Lindeman , Neal McBurnett

One approach to risk-limiting audits (RLAs) compares randomly selected cast vote records (CVRs) to votes read by human auditors from the corresponding ballot cards. Historically, such methods reduce audit sample sizes by considering how…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Alexander Ek , Michelle Blom , Philip B. Stark , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa J. Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are a significant tool in increasing confidence in the accuracy of elections. They consist of randomized algorithms which check that an election's vote tally, as reported by a vote tabulation system, corresponds…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Bar Karov , Moni Naor

We introduce weighted finite finance automata (WFFA), a formal framework for modeling and analyzing quantitative properties of financial systems driven by uncertain economic variables such as stock prices, interest rates, and exchange…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Manfred Droste , Vitaly Nürnberg

While Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Rejection Sampling Fine-Tuning (RFT) are standard for LLM alignment, they either rely on costly expert data or discard valuable negative samples, leading to data inefficiency. To address this, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Zehua Liu , Shuqi Liu , Tao Zhong , Mingxuan Yuan

As the adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models expands into critical real-world applications, ensuring the explainability of these models becomes paramount, particularly in sensitive fields such as medicine and finance. Linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Tuan L. Vo , Uyen Dang , Thu Nguyen

U.S. elections rely heavily on computers such as voter registration databases, electronic pollbooks, voting machines, scanners, tabulators, and results reporting websites. These introduce digital threats to election outcomes. Risk-limiting…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Amanda K. Glazer , Jacob V. Spertus , Philip B. Stark

Standard benchmarks fixate on how well large language model (LLM) agents perform in finance, yet say little about whether they are safe to deploy. We argue that accuracy metrics and return-based scores provide an illusion of reliability,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Zichen Chen , Jiaao Chen , Jianda Chen , Misha Sra
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