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Time series analysis is used to understand and predict dynamic processes, including evolving demands in business, weather, markets, and biological rhythms. Exponential smoothing is used in all these domains to obtain simple interpretable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-02 Avner Abrami , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Younghun Kim

We argue that time series analysis is fundamentally different in nature to either vision or natural language processing with respect to the forms of meaningful self-supervised learning tasks that can be defined. Motivated by this insight,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Navid Mohammadi Foumani , Chang Wei Tan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Hamid Rezatofighi , Mahsa Salehi

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

Normalizing flows transform a simple base distribution into a complex target distribution and have proved to be powerful models for data generation and density estimation. In this work, we propose a novel type of normalizing flow driven by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Ruizhi Deng , Bo Chang , Marcus A. Brubaker , Greg Mori , Andreas Lehrmann

Generating time series data is a promising approach to address data deficiency problems. However, it is also challenging due to the complex temporal properties of time series data, including local correlations as well as global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Ang Li , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

Inferring behavior model of a running software system is quite useful for several automated software engineering tasks, such as program comprehension, anomaly detection, and testing. Most existing dynamic model inference techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati

Modeling real-world multidimensional time series can be particularly challenging when these are sporadically observed (i.e., sampling is irregular both in time and across dimensions)-such as in the case of clinical patient data. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Edward De Brouwer , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Yves Moreau

Early classification algorithms help users react faster to their machine learning model's predictions. Early warning systems in hospitals, for example, let clinicians improve their patients' outcomes by accurately predicting infections.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Thomas Hartvigsen , Walter Gerych , Jidapa Thadajarassiri , Xiangnan Kong , Elke Rundensteiner

We propose EVOlutionary Selector (EVOS), an efficient training paradigm for accelerating Implicit Neural Representation (INR). Unlike conventional INR training that feeds all samples through the neural network in each iteration, our…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Weixiang Zhang , Shuzhao Xie , Chengwei Ren , Siyi Xie , Chen Tang , Shijia Ge , Mingzi Wang , Zhi Wang

In this paper, we first propose a filter-based continuous Ensemble Eddy Viscosity (EEV) model for stochastic turbulent flow problems. We then propose a generic algorithm for a family of fully discrete, grad-div regularized, efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Brandiece N. Berry , Md Mahmudul Islam , Muhammad Mohebujjaman , Neethu Suma Raveendran

We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient individualized imputation and forecasting. By integrating implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Batuhan Koyuncu , Rachael DeVries , Ole Winther , Isabel Valera

HPC systems are a critical resource for scientific research. The increased demand for computational power and memory ushers in the exascale era, in which supercomputers are designed to provide enormous computing power to meet these needs.…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Yehonatan Fridman , Yaniv Snir , Harel Levin , Danny Hendler , Hagit Attiya , Gal Oren

Electronic Health Records (EHR) can be represented as temporal sequences that record the events (medical visits) from patients. Neural temporal point process (NTPP) has achieved great success in modeling event sequences that occur in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Bingqing Liu

A class of abstract nonlinear time-periodic evolution problems is considered which arise in electrical engineering and other scientific disciplines. An efficient solver is proposed for the systems arising after discretization in time based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Herbert Egger , Andreas Schafelner

While recent machine learning research has revealed connections between deep generative models such as VAEs and rate-distortion losses used in learned compression, most of this work has focused on images. In a similar spirit, we view…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Ruihan Yang , Yibo Yang , Joseph Marino , Stephan Mandt

Recent research in deep learning has shown that neural networks can learn differential equations governing dynamical systems. In this paper, we adapt this concept to Virtual Analog (VA) modeling to learn the ordinary differential equations…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Jan Wilczek , Alec Wright , Vesa Välimäki , Emanuël Habets

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

Background/introduction: Cross-Validation (CV) is still uncommon in time series modeling. Echo State Networks (ESNs), as a prime example of Reservoir Computing (RC) models, are known for their fast and precise one-shot learning, that often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Mantas Lukoševičius , Arnas Uselis