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In this paper we develop statistical inference tools for high dimensional functional time series. We introduce a new concept of physical dependent processes in the space of square integrable functions, which adopts the idea of basis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Zhou Zhou , Holger Dette

A method to upsample insufficiently sampled experimental time series of pseudo-periodic signals is proposed. The result is an estimate of the pseudo-periodic cycle underlying the signal. This hypersampling requires a sufficiently sampled…

Medical Physics · Physics 2018-05-01 Henning U. Voss

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

We introduce graph gamma process (GGP) linear dynamical systems to model real-valued multivariate time series. For temporal pattern discovery, the latent representation under the model is used to decompose the time series into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Rahi Kalantari , Mingyuan Zhou

Analyzing time series in the frequency domain enables the development of powerful tools for investigating the second-order characteristics of multivariate processes. Parameters like the spectral density matrix and its inverse, the coherence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

We follow up on the study of correlations between GDP's of rich countries. We analyze web-downloaded data on GDP that we use as individual wealth signatures of the country economical state. We calculate the yearly fluctuations of the GDP.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , R. Lambiotte

High-dimensional functional time series offers a powerful framework for extending functional time series analysis to settings with multiple simultaneous dimensions, capturing both temporal dynamics and cross-sectional dependencies. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Haixu Wang , Tianyu Guan , Han Lin Shang

This article proposes a new approach to modeling high-dimensional time series by treating a $p$-dimensional time series as a nonsingular linear transformation of certain common factors and idiosyncratic components. Unlike the approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

The underlying theme of this paper is to explore the various facets of power systems data through the lens of graph signal processing (GSP), laying down the foundations of the Grid-GSP framework. Grid-GSP provides an interpretation for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione

State-space mixed-frequency vector autoregressions are now widely used for nowcasting. Despite their popularity, estimating such models can be computationally intensive, especially for large systems with stochastic volatility. To tackle the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-22 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

The primary objective of this paper was to investigate whether the growth in the major US asset indices could be a function of the US broad money supply and/or US GDP, over the time period 2001 to 2019, using an information entropy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-15 Laurence Lacey

A multivariate score-driven filter is developed to extract signals from noisy vector processes. By assuming that the conditional location vector from a multivariate Student's t distribution changes over time, we construct a robust filter…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-31 Enzo D'Innocenzo , Alessandra Luati , Mario Mazzocchi

We propose a supervised principal component regression method for relating functional responses with high dimensional predictors. Unlike the conventional principal component analysis, the proposed method builds on a newly defined expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Xinyi Zhang , Qiang Sun , Dehan Kong

The correlation between G7 countries has been analysed on the basis of Gross Domestic Product using different distance functions i.e. discrete, linear correlation and distribution distance. The distance matrics is analysed by various graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-03 J. Miśkiewicz , M. Ausloos

UK GDP data is published with a lag time of more than a month and it is often adjusted for prior periods. This paper contemplates breaking away from the historic GDP measure to a more dynamic method using Bank Account, Cheque and Credit…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-19 Arunav Das

This chapter presents key concepts and theoretical results for analyzing estimation and inference in high-dimensional models. High-dimensional models are characterized by having a number of unknown parameters that is not vanishingly small…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Christian Hansen , Kengo Kato

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao

By exact projection in phase space we derive the generalized Langevin equation (GLE) for time-filtered observables. We employ a general convolution filter that directly acts on arbitrary phase-space observables and can involve low-pass,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-20 Roland R. Netz

Gross domestic product (GDP) nowcasting is crucial for policy-making as GDP growth is a key indicator of economic conditions. Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have been widely adopted by government agencies for GDP nowcasting due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Seonkyu Lim , Jeongwhan Choi , Noseong Park , Sang-Ha Yoon , ShinHyuck Kang , Young-Min Kim , Hyunjoong Kang

This paper is concerned with a state-space approach to deep Gaussian process (DGP) regression. We construct the DGP by hierarchically putting transformed Gaussian process (GP) priors on the length scales and magnitudes of the next level of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-24 Zheng Zhao , Muhammad Emzir , Simo Särkkä