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Related papers: A Sharp Gaussian Tail Bound for Sums of Uniforms

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Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

We develop a new probabilistic and geometric method to obtain several sharp results pertaining to the upper tail behavior of continuum Gibbs measures on infinite ensembles of random continuous curves, also known as line ensembles,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Shirshendu Ganguly , Milind Hegde

We study the probability distribution of the maximum $M_S $ of a smooth stationary Gaussian field defined on a fractal subset $S$ of $\R^n$. Our main result is the equivalent of the asymptotic behavior of the tail of the distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-20 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Mario Wschebor

Let $X$ be an integrable real random variable with mean zero and two-sided sub-Gaussian tail $\mathbb{P}(|X|>t)\le 2e^{-t^{2}/2}$ for all $t\ge 0$. We determine the smallest constant $c_\star$ such that $X$ is dominated in convex order by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Damek Davis , Sam Power

In this paper, we study estimates on tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}(S_r \ge t)$ of several classes of subordinators under mild assumptions on the tail of its L\'evy measure. As an application of that result, we obtain two-sided estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim

We introduce a novel bivariate copula model able to capture both the central and tail dependence of the joint probability distribution. Model that can capture the dependence structure within the joint tail have important implications in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Maria Concepción Ausín , Maria Kalli

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

We consider solutions of the stochastic equation $R=_d\sum_{i=1}^NA_iR_i+B$, where $N>1$ is a fixed constant, $A_i$ are independent, identically distributed random variables and $R_i$ are independent copies of $R$, which are independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-14 D. Buraczewski , E. Damek , J. Zienkiewicz

In this paper, we present a new framework to obtain tail inequalities for sums of random matrices. Compared with existing works, our tail inequalities have the following characteristics: 1) high feasibility--they can be used to study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Chao Zhang , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Dacheng Tao

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

In this paper we show under weak assumptions that for $R\stackrel{d}{=}1+M_1+M_1M_2+\ldots$, where $P(M\in[0,1])=1$ and $M_i$ are independent copies of $M$, we have $\ln P(R>x)\sim C\, x\ln P(M>1-\frac1x)$ as $x\to\infty$. The constant $C$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Bartosz Kolodziejek

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We derive explicit tail-estimates for the Jacobian of the solution flow for stochastic differential equations driven by Gaussian rough paths. In particular, we deduce that the Jacobian has finite moments of all order for a wide class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Thomas Cass , Christian Litterer , Terry Lyons

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

We derive upper bounds for probabilities of the form $P(g(\mathbf{X})\geq t)$ using the southwest boundary (recently introduced in our previous work) $\partial_{\mathrm{SW}} Q(g^{-1}[t,\infty))$, where $Q$ is a reflection to the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Stephen Jordan Harrison

The q-Gaussians are a class of stable distributions which are present in many scientific fields, and that behave as heavy tailed distributions for an especific range of q values. The identification of these values, which are used in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 E. L de Santa Helena , C. M. Nascimento , G. J. L. Gerhardt

A random vector $X$ with representation $X=\sum_{j\geq0}A_jZ_j$ is considered. Here, $(Z_j)$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors and $(A_j)$ is a sequence of random matrices, `predictable' with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky
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