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A general device is proposed, which provides for extension of exponential inequalities for sums of independent real-valued random variables to those for martingales in the 2-smooth Banach spaces. This is used to obtain optimum bounds of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Iosif Pinelis

We derive Stein approximation bounds for functionals of uniform random variables, using chaos expansions and the Clark-Ocone representation formula combined with derivation and finite difference operators. This approach covers sums and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas

The question of testing for equality in distribution between two linear models, each consisting of sums of distinct discrete independent random variables with unequal numbers of observations, has emerged from the biological research. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Giulio Prevedello , Ken R. Duffy

We study sample average approximations (SAA) of chance constrained programs. SAA methods typically approximate the actual distribution in the chance constraint using an empirical distribution constructed from random samples assumed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Shuhao Yan , Francesca Parise , Eilyan Bitar

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on $N$ independent, identically distributed observations. We prove the existence of an estimator that has a near-optimal error in all directions in which the variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be i.i.d. log-concave random vectors in $\mathbb R^d$ with mean 0 and covariance matrix $\Sigma$. We study the problem of quantifying the normal approximation error for $W=n^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ with explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We consider time-dependent dynamical systems arising as sequential compositions of self-maps of a probability space. We establish conditions under which the Birkhoff sums for multivariate observations, given a centering and a general…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

We propose a new version of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs, which, given a suitable exchangeable pair $(W,W')$ of real-valued random variables, suggests the approximation of the law of $W$ by a suitable absolutely continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Christian Döbler

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Amit N. Kumar

Let $X,X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be i.i.d. ${\mathbb{R}}^d$-valued real random vectors. Assume that ${\mathbf{E}X=0}$, $\operatorname {cov}X=\mathbb{C}$, $\mathbf{E}\Vert X\Vert^2=\sigma ^2$ and that $X$ is not concentrated in a proper subspace of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We obtain explicit Berry-Esseen bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the normal approximation of non-linear functionals of vectors of independent random variables. Our results are based on the use of Stein's method and of random difference…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

In this paper we give an explicit bound on the distance to chisquare for the likelihood ratio statistic when the data are realisations of independent and identically distributed random elements. To our knowledge this is the first explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

Assume that X is a set of sample statistics which follow a special case Central Limit Theorem, namely: as the sample size n increases the corresponding distribution becomes multivariate Normal with the mean (of each X) equal to zero and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Hao Yuan Zhang , Jan Vrbik

We consider distributional limit of the Pearson chi-square statistic when the number of classes m increases with the sample size n in such way that $n/\sqrt{m} \to {\lambda}$. Under mild moment conditions, the limit is Gaussian for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Grzegorz A. Rempała , Jacek Wesołowski
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