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Probability forecasts for binary outcomes, often referred to as probabilistic classifiers or confidence scores, are ubiquitous in science and society, and methods for evaluating and comparing them are in great demand. We propose and study a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan , Peter Vogel

While the linear Pearson correlation coefficient represents a well-established normalized measure to quantify the interrelation of two stochastic variables $X$ and $Y$, it fails for multidimensional variables such as Cartesian coordinates.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-19 Daniel Nagel , Georg Diez , Gerhard Stock

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

As computer vision systems become more widely deployed, there is increasing concern from both the research community and the public that these systems are not only reproducing but amplifying harmful social biases. The phenomenon of bias…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Dora Zhao , Jerone T. A. Andrews , Alice Xiang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a popular class of statistical methods for simulating autocorrelated draws from target distributions, including posterior distributions in Bayesian analysis. An important consideration in using simulated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-16 Benjamin E. Deonovic , Brian J. Smith

We discuss a general approach to handling "multiple hypotheses" testing in the case when a particular hypothesis states that the vector of parameters identifying the distribution of observations belongs to a convex compact set associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-24 A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditski , A. Nemirovski

Multivariate correlation analysis plays a key role in various fields such as statistics and big data analytics. In this paper, it is presented a new non-parametric association measure between more than two variables based on the concept of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Eloi Martinez-Rabert

The real-valued Jaccard and coincidence indices, in addition to their conceptual and computational simplicity, have been verified to be able to provide promising results in tasks such as template matching, tending to yield peaks that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Luciano da F. Costa

Pearson's correlation coefficient is a popular statistical measure to summarize the strength of association between two continuous variables. It is usually interpreted via its square as percentage of variance of one variable predicted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Romain Piaget-Rossel , Valentin Rousson

Given a binary prediction problem, which performance metric should the classifier optimize? We address this question by formalizing the problem of Metric Elicitation. The goal of metric elicitation is to discover the performance metric of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-21 Gaurush Hiranandani , Shant Boodaghians , Ruta Mehta , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

The Massively Parallel Computation (MPC) model serves as a common abstraction of many modern large-scale data processing frameworks, and has been receiving increasingly more attention over the past few years, especially in the context of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Danupon Nanongkai , Michele Scquizzato

Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, offering reliable predictions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. When applied to classification, CP produces a prediction set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Floris den Hengst , Inès Blin , Majid Mohammadi , Syed Ihtesham Hussain Shah , Taraneh Younesian

High-dimensional systems are an important frontier for photonic quantum correlation experiments. These correlation tests commonly prescribe measurements with many possible outcomes but they are often implemented through many individual…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Armin Tavakoli , Roope Uola , Jef Pauwels

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has transformed Bayesian model inference over the past three decades: mainly because of this, Bayesian inference is now a workhorse of applied scientists. Under general conditions, MCMC sampling converges…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-20 Ben Lambert , Aki Vehtari

We derive the mapping between two of the most pervasive utility functions, the mean square error ($MSE$) and the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC, $\rho_c$). Despite its drawbacks, $MSE$ is one of the most popular performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Vedhas Pandit , Björn Schuller

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

The development of rigorous quality assessment model relies on the collection of reliable subjective data, where the perceived quality of visual multimedia is rated by the human observers. Different subjective assessment protocols can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Suiyi Ling , Jing Li , Anne Flore Perrin , Zhi Li , Lukáš Krasula , Patrick Le Callet

In the present paper, we discuss the Pearson, Spearman, Kendall correlation coefficients and their statistical analogues. We propose a new correlation coefficient r and its statistical analogue. The coefficient r is based on Kendal's and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Alexei Stepanov

The major histocompatibility complex (MHC) molecules, which bind peptides for presentation on the cell surface, play an important role in cell-mediated immunity. In light of developing databases and technologies over the years, significant…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-26 Ayşenaz Ezgi Ergin , Deniz Turgay Altılar

Quantifying the similarity of two or more datasets has widespread applications in statistics and machine learning. The method choice is, however, difficult due to the abundance of proposed methods and the lack of neutral comparison studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Marieke Stolte , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert
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