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This article expands the framework of Bayesian inference and provides direct probabilistic methods for approaching inference tasks that are typically handled with information theory. We treat Bayesian probability updating as a random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-20 Kevin Vanslette

This paper investigates a well-posedness property of parametric constraint systems named here Robinson stability. Based on advanced tools of variational analysis and generalized differentiation, we derive first-order and second-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Helmut Gfrerer , Boris Mordukhovich

This paper considers the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from the observation of all or a subset of its entries in the presence of Poisson noise. When we observe all entries, this is a problem of matrix denoising; when we observe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-22 Andrew D. McRae , Mark A. Davenport

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

Histopolation is the approximation procedure that associates a degree $ d-1 $ polynomial $ p_{d-1} \in \mathscr{P}_{d-1} (I) $ with a locally integrable function $ f $ imposing that the integral (or, equivalently, the average) of $p$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Ludovico Bruni Bruno , Stefano Serra-Capizzano

We consider a nonlinear pendulum whose suspension point undergoes stochastic vibrations in its plane of motion. Stochastic vibrations are constructed by stochastic differential equations with random periodic solutions. Averaging over these…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Yan Luo , Kaicheng Sheng

We analyze equilibration times of subsystems of a larger system under a random total Hamiltonian, in which the basis of the Hamiltonian is drawn from the Haar measure. We obtain that the time of equilibration is of the order of the inverse…

The linear model, in which a set of observations is assumed to be given by a linear combination of columns of a matrix, has long been the mainstay of the statistics and signal processing literature. One particular challenge for inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Waheed U. Bajwa , Marco F. Duarte , Robert Calderbank

We study discrete linear divergence-form operators with random coefficients, also known as the random conductance model. We assume that the conductances are bounded, independent and stationary; the law of a conductance may depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-10 Arianna Giunti , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Analysis of low-degree polynomial algorithms is a powerful, newly-popular method for predicting computational thresholds in hypothesis testing problems. One limitation of current techniques for this analysis is their restriction to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Dmitriy Kunisky

The standard conditional probability definition formula is derived as a consequence of the Insufficient Reason Principle expressed as the Maximum Relative Divergence Principle for grading (order-comonotonic) functions on a totally ordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Alexander Dukhovny

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent an important framework both from a theoretical and applied point of view. In the present paper, motivated by species sampling problems, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We analyze a tandem network of polling queues with two product types and two stations. We assume that external arrivals to the network follow a Poisson process, and service times at each station are exponentially distributed. For this…

Performance · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ravi Suman , Ananth Krishnamurthy

A method is introduced for the verification of nonclassicality in terms of moments of nonclassicality quasiprobability distributions. The latter are easily obtained from experimental data and will be denoted as nonclassicality moments.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-06-06 Saleh Rahimi-Keshari , Thomas Kiesel , Werner Vogel

A combinatorial interpretation is provided for the moments of characteristic polynomials of random unitary matrices. This leads to a rather unexpected consequence of the Keating and Snaith conjecture: the moments of $\mid\xi(1/2+it)\mid$…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E Strahov

Some properties of random Conley index are obtained and then a sufficient condition for the existence of abstract bifurcation points for both discrete-time and continuous-time random dynamical systems is presented. This stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Xiaopeng Chen , Jinqiao Duan , Xinchu Fu

An extension of the conditional expectations (those under a given subalgebra of events and not the simple ones under a single event) from the classical to the quantum case is presented. In the classical case, the conditional expectations…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-01-22 Gerd Niestegge

We study the problem of preconditioning in sequential prediction. From the theoretical lens of linear dynamical systems, we show that convolving the target sequence corresponds to applying a polynomial to the hidden transition matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Annie Marsden , Elad Hazan

The paper considers the problem of estimating a $p\geq2$\ dimensional mean vector of a multivariate conditionally normal distribution under quadratic loss. The problem of this type arises when estimating the parameters in a continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-27 Evgeny Pchelintsev

In this paper we introduce a sublinear conditional operator with respect to a family of possibly nondominated probability measures in presence of multiple ordered default times. In this way we generalize the results of [5], where a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-17 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Katharina Oberpriller
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