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Shooting location is a core indicator of offensive style in invasion sports. Existing basketball shot-chart analyses often use spatial information for descriptive visualization, location-based efficiency modeling, or clustering players into…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

We investigate the time evolution of lead changes within individual games of competitive team sports. Exploiting ideas from the theory of random walks, the number of lead changes within a single game follows a Gaussian distribution. We show…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 A. Clauset , M. Kogan , S. Redner

Wheelchair basketball, regulated by the International Wheelchair Basketball Federation, is a sport designed for individuals with physical disabilities. This paper presents a data-driven tool that effectively determines optimal team line-ups…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Bernd Grimm , Christophe Ley

The golf swing is a complex movement requiring considerable full-body coordination to execute proficiently. As such, it is the subject of frequent scrutiny and extensive biomechanical analyses. In this paper, we introduce the notion of golf…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-18 William McNally , Kanav Vats , Tyler Pinto , Chris Dulhanty , John McPhee , Alexander Wong

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

The objective of the present study is to present a computational model of the motion of a single athlete in a team and to compare the resulting trajectory with experimental data obtained in the field during competitions by match analysis…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-11-25 E. Grimpampi , A. Pasculli , A. Sacripanti

A decision tree is one of the most popular approaches in machine learning fields. However, it suffers from the problem of overfitting caused by overly deepened trees. Then, a meta-tree is recently proposed. It solves the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Ryota Maniwa , Naoki Ichijo , Yuta Nakahara , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Sports analytics -- broadly defined as the pursuit of improvement in athletic performance through the analysis of data -- has expanded its footprint both in the professional sports industry and in academia over the past 30 years. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-11 Benjamin S. Baumer , Gregory J. Matthews , Quang Nguyen

Advancements in technology have recently allowed us to collect and analyse large-scale fine-grained data about human performance, drastically changing the way we approach sports. Here, we provide the first comprehensive analysis of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-22 Onkar Sadekar , Sandeep Chowdhary , M. S. Santhanam , Federico Battiston

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

The field of Knowledge Tracing is focused on predicting the success rate of a student for a given skill. Modern methods like Deep Knowledge Tracing provide accurate estimates given enough data, but being based on neural networks they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Hildo Bijl

This paper investigates the model for pedestrian flow firstly proposed in [Cristiani et al., DOI:10.1137/140962413]. The model assumes that each individual in the crowd moves in a known domain, aiming at minimizing a given cost functional.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Emiliano Cristiani , Arianna De Santo , Marta Menci

Today's competition between the professional eSports teams is so strong that in-depth analysis of players' performance literally crucial for creating a powerful team. There are two main approaches to such an estimation: obtaining features…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Anton Smerdov , Evgeny Burnaev , Andrey Somov

Strategy evaluation schemes are a crucial factor in any agent-based market model, as they determine the agents' strategy preferences and consequently their behavioral pattern. This study investigates how the strategy evaluation schemes…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-24 Yongjoo Baek , Sang Hoon Lee , Hawoong Jeong

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

In a basketball game, scoring efficiency holds significant importance due to the numerous offensive possessions per game. Enhancing scoring efficiency necessitates effective collaboration among players with diverse playing styles. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

It has been noted that in many professional sports leagues a good predictor of a team's won-loss percentage is Bill James' Pythagorean Formula RSobs^c / (RSobs^c + RAobs^c), where RSobs (resp. RAobs) is the observed average number of runs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Steven J. Miller

I address the difficult challenge of measuring the relative influence of competing basketball game strategies, and I apply my analysis to plays resulting in three-point shots. I use a glut of SportVU player tracking data from over 600 NBA…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Bradley A. Sliz

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez
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