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In this paper I conceptualise a novel approach for capturing coincidences between events that have not necessarily an observed causal relationship. Building on the Transcendental Information Cascades approach I outline a tensor theory of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Markus Luczak-Roesch

Effective and reliable evaluation is essential for advancing empirical machine learning. However, the increasing accessibility of generalist models and the progress towards ever more complex, high-level tasks make systematic evaluation more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Felix Leeb , Zhijing Jin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Usually gradual and continuous changes in entities will lead to appear events. But usually it is supposed that an event is occurred at once. In this research an integrated framework called continuous occurrence theory (COT) is presented to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Abdorrahman Haeri

Causal structures give us a way to understand the origin of observed correlations. These were developed for classical scenarios, but quantum mechanical experiments necessitate their generalisation. Here we study causal structures in a broad…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-30 Mirjam Weilenmann , Roger Colbeck

Humans can look at a static scene and instantly predict what happens next -- will moving this object cause a collision? We call this ability Causal Spatial Reasoning. However, current multimodal large language models (MLLMs) cannot do this,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Wenxin Ma , Chenlong Wang , Ruisheng Yuan , Hao Chen , Nanru Dai , S. Kevin Zhou , Yijun Yang , Alan Yuille , Jieneng Chen

Most major retailers today have multiple divisions focused on various aspects, such as marketing, supply chain, online customer experience, store customer experience, employee productivity, and vendor fulfillment. They also regularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Pranav Gupta , Nithin Surendran

To uncover the city's fundamental functioning mechanisms, it is important to acquire a deep understanding of complicated relationships among citizens, location, and mobility behaviors. Previous research studies have applied direct…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Tao Feng , Yunke Zhang , Xiaochen Fan , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Event Causality Identification (ECI), which aims to detect whether a causality relation exists between two given textual events, is an important task for event causality understanding. However, the ECI task ignores crucial event structure…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Shiyao Cui , Jiawei Sheng , Xin Cong , QuanGang Li , Tingwen Liu , Jinqiao Shi

This paper presents a new optimization approach to causal estimation. Given data that contains covariates and an outcome, which covariates are causes of the outcome, and what is the strength of the causality? In classical machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

The constraints arising for a general set of causal relations, both classically and quantumly, are still poorly understood. As a step in exploring this question, we consider a coherently controlled superposition of "direct-cause" and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-11 Adrien Feix , Časlav Brukner

Software systems with large parameter spaces, nondeterminism and high computational cost are challenging to test. Recently, software testing techniques based on causal inference have been successfully applied to systems that exhibit such…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Michael Foster , Robert M. Hierons , Donghwan Shin , Neil Walkinshaw , Christopher Wild

Causality defines the relationship between cause and effect. In multivariate time series field, this notion allows to characterize the links between several time series considering temporal lags. These phenomena are particularly important…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-01 Antonin Arsac , Aurore Lomet , Jean-Philippe Poli

Entities and events are crucial to natural language reasoning and common in procedural texts. Existing work has focused either exclusively on entity state tracking (e.g., whether a pan is hot) or on event reasoning (e.g., whether one would…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Li Zhang , Hainiu Xu , Yue Yang , Shuyan Zhou , Weiqiu You , Manni Arora , Chris Callison-Burch

We introduce computational causal inference as an interdisciplinary field across causal inference, algorithms design and numerical computing. The field aims to develop software specializing in causal inference that can analyze massive…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-22 Jeffrey C. Wong

Transformers have been showing near-human performance on a variety of tasks, but they are not without their limitations. We discuss the issue of conflating results of transformers that are instructed to do multiple tasks simultaneously. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Bryan Li , Lara J. Martin , Chris Callison-Burch

Humans have the capacity to draw common-sense inferences from natural language: various things that are likely but not certain to hold based on established discourse, and are rarely stated explicitly. We propose an evaluation of automated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Sheng Zhang , Rachel Rudinger , Kevin Duh , Benjamin Van Durme

Defeasibility in causal reasoning implies that the causal relationship between cause and effect can be strengthened or weakened. Namely, the causal strength between cause and effect should increase or decrease with the incorporation of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Shaobo Cui , Lazar Milikic , Yiyang Feng , Mete Ismayilzada , Debjit Paul , Antoine Bosselut , Boi Faltings

Contextualized or discourse aware commonsense inference is the task of generating coherent commonsense assertions (i.e., facts) from a given story, and a particular sentence from that story. Some problems with the task are: lack of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Pedro Colon-Hernandez , Henry Lieberman , Yida Xin , Claire Yin , Cynthia Breazeal , Peter Chin

Human tackle reading comprehension not only based on the given context itself but often rely on the commonsense beyond. To empower the machine with commonsense reasoning, in this paper, we propose a Commonsense Evidence Generation and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Ye Liu , Tao Yang , Zeyu You , Wei Fan , Philip S. Yu

Large-scale human mobility exhibits spatial and temporal patterns that can assist policymakers in decision making. Although traditional prediction models attempt to capture these patterns, they often interfered by non-periodic public…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Xiaojie Yang , Hangli Ge , Jiawei Wang , Zipei Fan , Renhe Jiang , Ryosuke Shibasaki , Noboru Koshizuka