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Related papers: Impact of Climate Simulation Resolutions on Future…

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Energy systems models, critical for power sector decision support, incur non-linear memory and runtime penalties when scaling up under typical formulations. Even hardware improvements cannot make large models tractable, requiring omission…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-26 Anna F. Jacobson , Denise L. Mauzerall , Jesse D. Jenkins

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Unprecedented winter storms that hit across Texas in February 2021 have caused at least 69 deaths and 4.5 million customer interruptions due to the wide-ranging generation capacity outage and record-breaking electricity demand. While much…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-19 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Yixing Xu , Daniel Olsen , Bainan Xia , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-09 Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on the reliability of transmission lines, specifically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a…

As renewable energy is becoming the major resource in future grids, the weather and climate can have a higher impact on grid reliability. Transmission expansion planning (TEP) has the potential to reinforce a transmission network that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-19 Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

Future energy systems are subject to various uncertain influences. As resilient systems they should maintain a constantly high operational performance whatever happens. We explore different levels and time scales of decision making in…

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

In February 2021, an unprecedented winter storm swept across the U.S., severely affecting the Texas power grid, leading to more than 4.5 million customers' electricity service interruption. This paper assesses the load shedding experienced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-29 Ali Menati , Le Xie

This paper explores the solutions for minimizing renewable energy (RE) curtailment in the Texas Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) grid. By utilizing current and future planning data from ERCOT and the System Advisor Model from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Cody Buehner , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang

One of the most used metrics to gauge the effects of climate change is the equilibrium climate sensitivity, defined as the long-term (equilibrium) temperature increase resulting from instantaneous doubling of atmospheric CO$_2$. Since…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-02-04 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

With a changing climate, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are likely to increase, posing a threat to infrastructure systems' resilience. The response of infrastructure systems to localised failures depends on whether…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Qianqian Li , Giuliano Punzo , Craig Robson , Hadi Arbabi , Martin Mayfield

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

Climate extremes, such as hurricanes, combined with large-scale integration of environment-sensitive renewables, could exacerbate the risk of widespread power outages. We introduce a coupled climate-energy model for cascading power outages,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Luo Xu , Ning Lin , H. Vincent Poor , Dazhi Xi , A. T. D. Perera

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang
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