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This paper focuses on optimizing probabilities of events of interest defined over general controlled discrete-time Markov processes. It is shown that the optimization over a wide class of $\omega$-regular properties can be reduced to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Ilya Tkachev , Alexandru Mereacre , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Alessandro Abate

We study and develop the stochastic Markov reward model (sMRM), which extends the Markov chain where transition time/reward as modelled as random variables. Techniques are presented to enable computing first-passage time distributions (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Irfan Muhammad

We resolve the fundamental problem of online decoding with general $n^{th}$ order ergodic Markov chain models. Specifically, we provide deterministic and randomized algorithms whose performance is close to that of the optimal offline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Vikas K. Garg , Tamar Pichkhadze

We consider discrete-time Markov decision processes in which the decision maker is interested in long but finite horizons. First we consider reachability objective: the decision maker's goal is to reach a specific target state with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Galit Ashkenazi-Golan , János Flesch , Arkadi Predtetchinski , Eilon Solan

We study the problem of clustering $T$ trajectories of length $H$, each generated by one of K unknown ergodic Markov chains over a finite state space of size $S$. We derive an instance-dependent, high-probability lower bound on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Junghyun Lee , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutière , Se-Young Yun

In this paper we study reachability verification problems of stochastic discrete-time dynamical systems over the infinite time horizon. The reachability verification of interest in this paper is to certify specified lower and upper bounds…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-21 Bai Xue

Markov chains are one of the well-known tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. At the same time, they are used for constructing random walks that can achieve a given stationary distribution. This paper is concerned with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Saber Jafarizadeh

We present $\textit{Probabilistic Total Store Ordering (PTSO)}$ -- a probabilistic extension of the classical TSO semantics. For a given (finite-state) program, the operational semantics of PTSO induces an infinite-state Markov chain. We…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Parosh Aziz Abdulla , Mohamed Faouzi Atig , Raj Aryan Agarwal , Adwait Godbole , Krishna S

We consider a large family of discrete and continuous time controlled Markov processes and study an ergodic risk-sensitive minimization problem. Under a blanket stability assumption, we provide a complete analysis to this problem. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Anup Biswas , Somnath Pradhan

Given access to a single long trajectory generated by an unknown irreducible Markov chain $M$, we simulate an $\alpha$-lazy version of $M$ which is ergodic. This enables us to generalize recent results on estimation and identity testing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Sela Fried , Geoffrey Wolfer

A constructive proof is given to the fact that any ergodic Markov chain can be realized as a random walk subject to a synchronizing road coloring. Redundancy (ratio of extra entropy) in such a realization is also studied.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 Kouji Yano , Kenji Yasutomi

Markov chains and Markov decision processes (MDPs) are well-established probabilistic models. While finite Markov models are well-understood, analysing their infinite counterparts remains a significant challenge. Decisiveness has proven to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Nathalie Bertrand , Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Paulin Fournier , Pierre Vandenhove

The maximization of reach-avoid probabilities for stochastic systems is a central topic in the control literature. Yet, the available methods are either restricted to low-dimensional systems or suffer from conservative approximations. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Niklas Schmid , Jaeyoun Choi , Oswin So , Chuchu Fan

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Oleg Butkovsky

This paper gathers together different conditions which are all equivalent to geometric ergodicity of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general state spaces. A total of 34 different conditions are presented (27 for general chains plus 7 just…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 M. A. Gallegos-Herrada , D. Ledvinka , J. S. Rosenthal

Linear Dynamical Systems, both discrete and continuous, are invaluable mathematical models in a plethora of applications such the verification of probabilistic systems, model checking, computational biology, cyber-physical systems, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Mihir Vahanwala

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

We study the problem of sequentially testing whether a given stochastic process is generated by a known Markov chain. Formally, given access to a stream of random variables, we want to quickly determine whether this sequence is a trajectory…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-24 Greg Fields , Tara Javidi , Shubhanshu Shekhar

Recent work has led to the development of an elegant theory of Linearly Solvable Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs) and related Path-Integral Control Problems. Traditionally, MDPs have been formulated using stochastic policies and a control…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Emanuel Todorov

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek