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Related papers: Statistical Variational Data Assimilation

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The requirements of modern sensing are rapidly evolving, driven by increasing demands for data efficiency, real-time processing, and deployment under limited sensing coverage. Complex physical systems are often characterized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yuxuan Bao , J. Nathan Kutz

Complex systems which can be represented in the form of static and dynamic graphs arise in different fields, e.g. communication, engineering and industry. One of the interesting problems in analysing dynamic network structures is to monitor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Anna Malinovskaya , Philipp Otto , Torben Peters

While the predictions produced by conformal prediction are set-valued, the data used for training and calibration is supposed to be precise. In the setting of superset learning or learning from partial labels, a variant of weakly supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Eyke Hüllermeier

This article develops a novel data assimilation methodology, addressing challenges that are common in real-world settings, such as severe sparsity of observations, lack of reliable models, and non-stationarity of the system dynamics. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 David J. Abers , George Hripcsak , Lena Mamykina , Melike Sirlanci , Esteban G. Tabak

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

The integration of observational data into numerical models, known as data assimilation (DA), is fundamental for making Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) possible, with breathtaking success over the past 60 years (Bauer et al. 2015).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-04 Jan D. Keller , Roland Potthast

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

Today's ocean numerical prediction skills depend on the availability of in-situ and remote ocean observations at the time of the predictions only. Because observations are scarce and discontinuous in time and space, numerical models are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-06 Ali Muhamed Ali , Hanqi Zhuang , Yu Huang , Ali K. Ibrahim , Ali Salem Altaher , Laurent Chérubin

Nudging is a data assimilation method amenable to both analysis and implementation. It also has the (reported) advantage of being insensitive to model errors compared to other assimilation methods. However, nudging behavior in the presence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Aytekin Çibik , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

Statistic modeling and data-driven learning are the two vital fields that attract many attentions. Statistic models intend to capture and interpret the relationships among variables, while data-based learning attempt to extract information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Jingwei Li

A framework for data assimilation combining aspects of operator-theoretic ergodic theory and quantum mechanics is developed. This framework adapts the Dirac--von Neumann formalism of quantum dynamics and measurement to perform sequential…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Dimitrios Giannakis

We have developed a variational data assimilation technique for the Sun using a toy {\alpha}{\Omega} dynamo model. The purpose of this work is to apply modern data assimilation techniques to solar data using a physically based model. This…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Laurene Jouve , Allan Sacha Brun , Olivier Talagrand

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Modern data analytics take advantage of ensemble learning and transfer learning approaches to tackle some of the most relevant issues in data analysis, such as lack of labeled data to use to train the analysis models, sparsity of the…

Data-driven methods have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities in fluid mechanics, yet most current applications still focus on simplified configurations, often characterised by statistical stationarity or limited temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

Covariance localization is a critical component of ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) and many current localization schemes simply dampen correlations as a function of distance. Increases in computational resources, broadening scope of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-27 Shay Gilpin , Matthias Morzfeld , Kevin K. Lin

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

While the formulation of most data assimilation schemes assumes an unbiased observation model error, in real applications, model error with nontrivial biases is unavoidable. A practical example is the error in the radiative transfer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-17 John Harlim , Tyrus Berry
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