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In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-10 Christoph Mark , Claus Metzner , Ben Fabry

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

In this paper, we consider the problem of stabilizing discrete-time linear systems by computing a nearby stable matrix to an unstable one. To do so, we provide a new characterization for the set of stable matrices. We show that a matrix $A$…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Nicolas Gillis , Michael Karow , Punit Sharma

In this paper, we propose a self-triggered formulation of Model Predictive Control for continuous-time nonlinear input-affine networked control systems. Our control method specifies not only when to execute control tasks but also provides a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Kazumune Hashimoto , Shuichi Adachi , Dimos. V. Dimarogonas

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

We study a reversible one-dimensional spin system with Bernoulli(p) stationary distribution, in which a site can flip only if the site to its left is in state +1. Such models have been used as simple exemplars of systems exhibiting slow…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 David Aldous , Persi Diaconis

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that monitor metrics in order to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. However, a scarcity of labeled data and ambiguous definitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Lawrence Wong , Dongyu Liu , Laure Berti-Equille , Sarah Alnegheimish , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

The infection dynamics of a population under stationary isolation conditions is modeled. It is underlined that the stationary character of the isolation measures can be expected to imply that an effective SIR model with constant parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca , Nana Geraldine Cabo Bizet

We propose two algorithms for discrete-time parameter estimation, one for time-varying parameters under persistent excitation (PE) condition, another for constant parameters under no PE condition. For the first algorithm, we show that in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Yingnan Cui , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

It's well-known that in a traditional discrete-time autonomous linear systems, the eigenvalues of the weigth (system) matrix solely determine the stability of the system. If the spectral radius of the system matrix is larger than 1, then…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-18 Zekeriya Uykan

Spatial autoregressive (SAR) models are important tools for studying network effects. However, with an increasing emphasis on data privacy, data providers often implement privacy protection measures that make classical SAR models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Danyang Huang , Ziyi Kong , Shuyuan Wu , Hansheng Wang

The thinning-based integer-valued autoregressive moving-average (INARMA) models are popular for count time series. Recently, types of INARMA models have also been developed for count random fields, i.e., for spatial count data located on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian H. Weiß

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Generalized Linear Models (GLM) form a wide class of regression and classification models, where prediction is a function of a linear combination of the input variables. For statistical inference in high dimension, sparsity inducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Mathurin Massias , Samuel Vaiter , Alexandre Gramfort , Joseph Salmon

We address the problem of robust state reconstruction for discrete-time nonlinear systems when the actuators and sensors are injected with (potentially unbounded) attack signals. Exploiting redundancy in sensors and actuators and using a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-09 Tianci Yang , Carlos Murguia , Chen Lv , Dragan Nesic , Chao Huang

A new class of integer-valued autoregressive models with dynamic survival probability is proposed. The peculiarity of this class of models lies on the specification of the survival probability through a stochastic recurrence equation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-08 Paolo Gorgi

Efficient estimation methods for simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models with missing data in the response variable have been well-explored in the literature. A common practice is to introduce measurement error into SAR models to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anjana Wijayawardhana , Thomas Suesse , David Gunawan

We investigate an epidemic model based on Bailey's continuous differential system. In the continuous time domain, we extend the classical model to time-dependent coefficients and present an alternative solution method to Gleissner's…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Martin Bohner , Sabrina Streipert , Delfim F. M. Torres

With the increased availability of large databases of electronic health records (EHRs) comes the chance of enhancing health risks screening. Most post-marketing detections of adverse drug reaction (ADR) rely on physicians' spontaneous…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-29 Maryan Morel , Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Agathe Guilloux , Fanny Leroy