Related papers: Inference for a New Signed Integer Valued Autoregr…
Robust regression models in the presence of outliers have significant practical relevance in areas such as signal processing, financial econometrics, and energy management. Many existing robust regression methods, either grounded in…
Integer-valued time series exist widely in economics, finance, biology, computer science, medicine, insurance, and many other fields. In recent years, many types of models have been proposed to model integer-valued time series data, in…
We propose a new model for nonstationary integer-valued time series which is particularly suitable for data with a strong trend. In contrast to popular Poisson-INGARCH models, but in line with classical GARCH models, we propose to pick the…
Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This article proposes a new observation driven model for zero inflated and over-dispersed count time series. The counts given the past history of the…
This paper describes a new method for generating stationary integer-valued time series from renewal processes. We prove that if the lifetime distribution of renewal processes is nonlattice and the probability generating function is…
In this paper, we give a AR$(1)$ type of characterization covering all multivariate strictly stationary processes indexed by the set of integers. Consequently, we derive continuous time algebraic Riccati equations for the parameter matrix…
A bivariate integer-valued autoregressive process of order 1 (BINAR(1)) with copula-joint innovations is studied. Different parameter estimation methods are analyzed and compared via Monte Carlo simulations with emphasis on estimation of…
Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…
By means of the asynchronous cellular automata algorithm we study stationary states and spatial patterning in an $SIS$ model, in which the individuals' are attached to the vertices of a graph and their mobility is mimicked by varying the…
In recent years, there has been considerable interest in estimating conditional independence graphs in the high-dimensional setting. Most prior work has assumed that the variables are multivariate Gaussian, or that the conditional means of…
We propose a first-order autoregressive (i.e. AR(1)) model for dynamic network processes in which edges change over time while nodes remain unchanged. The model depicts the dynamic changes explicitly. It also facilitates simple and…
We propose a novel class of time-varying nonparanormal graphical models, which allows us to model high dimensional heavy-tailed systems and the evolution of their latent network structures. Under this model, we develop statistical tests for…
The detection of serial dependence in binary or binomial valued time series is difficult using standard time series methods, particularly when there are regression effects to be modelled. In this paper we derive score-type tests for…
The Student-$t$ distribution is widely used in statistical modeling of datasets involving outliers since its longer-than-normal tails provide a robust approach to hand such data. Furthermore, data collected over time may contain censored or…
Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…
Guerrero et al. \cite{GBSO} propose a novel approach to building first-order integer-valued autoregressive (\inar1) models based on the concept of thinning. The standard approach requires that the thinning operator be defined first and…
A buffered double autoregressive (BDAR) time series model is proposed in this paper to depict the buffering phenomenon of conditional mean and conditional variance in time series. To build this model, a novel flexible regime switching…
We consider time-dependent dynamical systems arising as sequential compositions of self-maps of a probability space. We establish conditions under which the Birkhoff sums for multivariate observations, given a centering and a general…
We propose a novel graphical model selection (GMS) scheme for high-dimensional stationary time series or discrete time process. The method is based on a natural generalization of the graphical LASSO (gLASSO), introduced originally for GMS…
We propose a novel estimator of the autocorrelation function in presence of missing observations. We establish the consistency, the asymptotic normality, and we derive deviation bounds for various classes of weakly dependent stationary time…