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Adjusting for covariates is a well established method to estimate the total causal effect of an exposure variable on an outcome of interest. Depending on the causal structure of the mechanism under study there may be different adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-21 Ben-zhang Yang , Jia Yue , Ming-hui Wang , Nan-jing Huang

A volatility surface is an important tool for pricing and hedging derivatives. The surface shows the volatility that is implied by the market price of an option on an asset as a function of the option's strike price and maturity. Often,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Maxime Bergeron , Nicholas Fung , John Hull , Zissis Poulos

Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

The partially observed linear Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations with low noise in observations is considered. A kernel-type estimators are used for estimation of the quadratic variation of the derivative of the limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Yury A. Kutoyants

We study the non-parametric estimation of an unknown stationary density fV of an unobserved strictly stationary volatility process $(\bm V_t)_{t\geq 0}$ on $\IRp^2 := (0,\infty)^2$ based on discrete-time observations in a stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Sergio Brenner Miguel

Financial time series exhibit two different type of non linear correlations: (i) volatility autocorrelations that have a very long range memory, on the order of years, and (ii) asymmetric return-volatility (or `leverage') correlations that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka

With the daily and minutely data of the German DAX and Chinese indices, we investigate how the return-volatility correlation originates in financial dynamics. Based on a retarded volatility model, we may eliminate or generate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-03 J. Shen , B. Zheng

We develop moment estimators for the parameters of affine stochastic volatility models. We first address the challenge of calculating moments for the models by introducing a recursive equation for deriving closed-form expressions for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Yan-Feng Wu , Xiangyu Yang , Jian-Qiang Hu

Inspired by the recent literature on aggregation theory, we aim at relating the long range correlation of the stocks return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jerome Coulon , Yannick Malevergne

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

We present a new simple method of estimating stochastic volatility and its volatility. This method is applicable to both cross-sectional and time-series data. Moreover, this method does not require volatility data series.

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-04 Moawia Alghalith

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

We propose a non-parametric extension with leverage functions to the Andersen commodity curve model. We calibrate this model to market data for WTI and NG including option skew at the standard maturities. While the model can be calibrated…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-16 Orcan Ogetbil , Bernhard Hientzsch

We develop a theoretical framework that aims to link micro-level option hedging and stock-specific factor exposure with macro-level market turbulence and explain endogenous volatility amplification during gamma-squeeze events. By explicitly…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Haoying Dai

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-19 Christoph Aymanns , J. Doyne Farmer
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