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We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Petar Jovanovski , Andrew Golightly , Umberto Picchini

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We describe a method to model nonlinear dynamical systems using periodic solutions of delay-differential equations. We show that any finite-time trajectory of a nonlinear dynamical system can be loaded approximately into the initial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander N. Jourjine

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

Stochastic dynamical systems are fundamental in state estimation, system identification and control. System models are often provided in continuous time, while a major part of the applied theory is developed for discrete-time systems.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Niklas Wahlström , Patrix Axelsson , Fredrik Gustafsson

We analyze the convergence of gradient-based optimization algorithms that base their updates on delayed stochastic gradient information. The main application of our results is to the development of gradient-based distributed optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-02 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

This paper presents a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) as mathematical model to describe the spatial-temporal dynamics of predator-prey system in an artificial aquatic environment with schooling behavior imposed upon the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Aditya Dewanto Hartono , Linh Thi Hoai Nguyen , Ton Viet Ta

A potent class of generative models known as Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) has become prominent. A forward diffusion process adds gradually noise to data, while a model learns to gradually denoise. Sampling from pre-trained DPMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Martin Gonzalez , Nelson Fernandez , Thuy Tran , Elies Gherbi , Hatem Hajri , Nader Masmoudi

Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

A new time-delay estimation (TDE) technique based on dynamic programming is developed, to measures the time-varying time-delay between two signals. Dynamic programming based TDE technique provides a frequency response 5 to 10 times higher…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2010-01-11 Deepak K. Gupta , George R. McKee , Raymond R. Fonck

Stemming from the stochastic Lotka-Volterra or predator-prey equations, this work aims to model the spatial inhomogeneity by using stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Compared to the classical models, the SPDE model is more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-21 N. N. Nhu , G. Yin

Delayed processes are ubiquitous throughout biology. These delays may arise through maturation processes or as the result of complex multi-step networks, and mathematical models with distributed delays are increasingly used to capture the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Tyler Cassidy

Computational multi-scale methods capitalize on a large time-scale separation to efficiently simulate slow dynamics over long time intervals. For stochastic systems, one often aims at resolving the statistics of the slowest dynamics. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Kristian Debrabant , Giovanni Samaey , Przemysław Zieliński

Systems whose time evolutions are entirely deterministic can nevertheless be studied probabilistically, i.e. in terms of the evolution of probability distributions rather than individual trajectories. This approach is central to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-06 S. Richard Taylor

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

In this article we develop a new methodology to prove weak approximation results for general stochastic differential equations. Instead of using a partial differential equation approach as is usually done for diffusions, the approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Emmanuelle Clément , Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Damien Lamberton

Since response lags are essential in the feedback loops and are required by most physical systems, it is more appropriate to stabilize McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) with common noise through the implementation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Xing Chen , Xiaoyue Li , Chenggui Yuan

First of all, this paper presents some improvements of DSMC method in the form of new schemes and approaches, that, for a wide class of problems, increase performance and reduce the demands on computer resources. The most important…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2012-01-16 Roman V. Maltsev

We develop a new continuous-time stochastic gradient descent method for optimizing over the stationary distribution of stochastic differential equation (SDE) models. The algorithm continuously updates the SDE model's parameters using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Ziheng Wang , Justin Sirignano