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Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

State-space mixed-frequency vector autoregressions are now widely used for nowcasting. Despite their popularity, estimating such models can be computationally intensive, especially for large systems with stochastic volatility. To tackle the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-22 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

A computationally efficient method for online joint state inference and dynamical model learning is presented. The dynamical model combines an a priori known, physically derived, state-space model with a radial basis function expansion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-12 Anton Kullberg , Isaac Skog , Gustaf Hendeby

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

Disturbance noises are always bounded in a practical system, while fusion estimation is to best utilize multiple sensor data containing noises for the purpose of estimating a quantity--a parameter or process. However, few results are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-20 Bo Chen , Guoqiang Hu , Daniel W. C. Ho , Li Yu

A novel approach for vehicle tracking using a hybrid adaptive Kalman filter is proposed. The filter utilizes recurrent neural networks to learn the vehicle's geometrical and kinematic features, which are then used in a supervised learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Barak Or , Itzik Klein

The Recursive KalmanNet, recently introduced by the authors, is a recurrent neural network guided by a Kalman filter, capable of estimating the state variables and error covariance of stochastic dynamic systems from noisy measurements,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Cyril Falcon , Hassan Mortada , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

Reliable state estimation is essential for autonomous systems operating in complex, noisy environments. Classical filtering approaches, such as the Kalman filter, can struggle when facing nonlinear dynamics or non-Gaussian noise, and even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Wonjin Song , Feng Bao

Kalman filtering is a cornerstone of estimation theory, yet learning the optimal filter under unknown and potentially singular noise covariances remains a fundamental challenge. In this paper, we revisit this problem through the lens of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-08 Larsen Bier , Shahriar Talebi

In this paper, we propose a filtering algorithm for simultaneously estimating the mode, input and state of hidden mode switched linear stochastic systems with unknown inputs. Using a multiple-model approach with a bank of linear input and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

The paper is devoted to synthesis of recurrent algorithms for detection of stochastic signals given in state space. The structure of the algorithms synthesized is shown to be close to that of the Kalman filter. Analysis of one of the…

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

We consider the problem of selecting an optimal set of sensor precisions to estimate the states of a non-linear dynamical system using an Ensemble Kalman filter and an Unscented Kalman filter, which uses random and deterministic ensembles…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Niladri Das , Raktim Bhattacharya

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

This paper considers a bearings-only tracking problem using noisy measurements of unknown noise statistics from a passive sensor. It is assumed that the process and measurement noise follows the Gaussian distribution where the measurement…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-16 Shreya Das , Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

Modern autonomous navigation for unmanned ground vehicles relies on different estimators to fuse inertial sensors and GNSS measurements. However, the constant noise covariance matrices often struggle to account for dynamic real-world…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Gal Versano , Itzik Klein