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Accurate forecasting of electrical demand is essential for maintaining a stable and reliable power grid, optimizing the allocation of energy resources, and promoting efficient energy consumption practices. This study investigates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Tugrul Cabir Hakyemez , Omer Adar

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

This work studies how an AI-controlled dog-fighting agent with tunable decision-making parameters can learn to optimize performance against an intelligent adversary, as measured by a stochastic objective function evaluated on simulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Brett W. Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed , Kenneth Center , Roderick Green , Winston Bennett

Training and Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) of deep learning-based AI models are often compute resource intensive and calls for the use of large-scale distributed resources as well as scalable and resource efficient hyperparameter search…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-03-28 Eric Wulff , Maria Girone , David Southwick , Juan Pablo García Amboage , Eduard Cuba

Quantile regression is a method to estimate the quantiles of the conditional distribution of a response variable, and as such it permits a much more accurate portrayal of the relationship between the response variable and observed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-01-08 Jiyan Yang , Xiangrui Meng , Michael W. Mahoney

This paper presents a methodological framework for training, self-optimising, and self-organising surrogate models to approximate and speed up multiobjective optimisation of technical systems based on multiphysics simulations. At the hand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Diego Botache , Jens Decke , Winfried Ripken , Abhinay Dornipati , Franz Götz-Hahn , Mohamed Ayeb , Bernhard Sick

Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes (GP) as surrogate models is widely used to optimize analytically unknown and expensive-to-evaluate functions. In this paper, we propose Prior-mean-RObust Bayesian Optimization (PROBO) that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Julian Rodemann , Thomas Augustin

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with many responses of interest. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which makes our framework more flexible than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Ming Yuan

Bayesian optimization is a class of data efficient model based algorithms typically focused on global optimization. We consider the more general case where a user is faced with multiple problems that each need to be optimized conditional on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Michael Pearce , Janis Klaise , Matthew Groves

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a promising approach for hyperparameter optimization of deep neural networks (DNNs), where each model training can take minutes to hours. In BO, a computationally cheap surrogate model is employed to learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Romain Egele , Isabelle Guyon , Venkatram Vishwanath , Prasanna Balaprakash

Recent methods in quantile regression have adopted a classification perspective to handle challenges posed by heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data by quantizing outputs into fixed bins. Although these regression-as-classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Batuhan Cengiz , Halil Faruk Karagoz , Tufan Kumbasar

High-dimensional Bayesian optimization (BO) tasks such as molecular design often require 10,000 function evaluations before obtaining meaningful results. While methods like sparse variational Gaussian processes (SVGPs) reduce computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Natalie Maus , Kyurae Kim , Geoff Pleiss , David Eriksson , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

BayesianOptimization(BO) is a sample-efficient black-box optimizer, and extensive methods have been proposed to build the absolute function response of the black-box function through a probabilistic surrogate model, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Xiaoxing Wang , Jiaxing Li , Chao Xue , Wei Liu , Weifeng Liu , Xiaokang Yang , Junchi Yan , Dacheng Tao

Many real-world multi-objective optimisation problems rely on computationally expensive function evaluations. Multi-objective Bayesian optimisation (BO) can be used to alleviate the computation time to find an approximated set of Pareto…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Tinkle Chugh

Bayesian optimization (BO) has demonstrated potential for optimizing control performance in data-limited settings, especially for systems with unknown dynamics or unmodeled performance objectives. The BO algorithm efficiently trades-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Ankush Chakrabarty

When training deep learning models, the performance depends largely on the selected hyperparameters. However, hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is often one of the most expensive parts of model design. Classical HPO methods treat this as a…

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is increasingly used to automatically tune the predictive performance (e.g., accuracy) of machine learning models. However, in a plethora of real-world applications, accuracy is only one of the multiple --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Robin Schmucker , Michele Donini , Muhammad Bilal Zafar , David Salinas , Cédric Archambeau

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for optimizing expensive black-box objectives, yet extending it to graph-structured domains remains challenging due to the discrete and combinatorial nature of graphs. Existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Shu Hong , Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden