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Parametric quantile regressions are a useful tool for creating probabilistic energy forecasts. Nonetheless, since classical quantile regressions are trained using a non-differentiable cost function, their creation using complex data mining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Jorge Ángel González Ordiano , Lutz Gröll , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Accurately forecasting Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) is essential for designing climate strategies that balance economic growth with environmental objectives. Elevated CPU levels can delay regulatory implementation, hinder investment in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Donia Besher , Anirban Sengupta , Tanujit Chakraborty

As variable renewable energy increases and more demand is electrified, we expect price formation in wholesale electricity markets to transition from being dominated by fossil fuel generators to being dominated by the opportunity costs of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-01 Julian Geis , Fabian Neumann , Michael Lindner , Philipp Härtel , Tom Brown

While probabilistic forecast verification for categorical forecasts is well established, some of the existing concepts and methods have not found their equivalent for the case of continuous variables. New tools dedicated to the assessment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-10-02 Zied Ben Bouallegue , Pierre Pinson , Petra Friederichs

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Several studies have focused on the Realized Range Volatility, an estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices, taking into account the impact of microstructure noise and jumps. However, none has considered direct modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-28 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin

Accurately forecasting carbon prices is essential for informed energy market decision-making, guiding sustainable energy planning, and supporting effective decarbonization strategies. However, it remains challenging due to structural breaks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Runsheng Ren , Jing Li , Yanxiu Li , Shixun Huang , Jun Shen , Wanqing Li , John Le , Sheng Wang

This paper investigates the application of Quantum Generative Adversarial Networks (QGANs) for stock price prediction. Financial markets are inherently complex, marked by high volatility and intricate patterns that traditional models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Sangram Deshpande , Gopal Ramesh Dahale , Sai Nandan Morapakula , Uday Wad

Accurately estimating high-resolution carbon emissions is crucial for effective emission governance and mitigation planning. While conventional methods for precise carbon accounting are hindered by substantial data collection efforts, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinwei Zeng , Yu Liu , Guozhen Zhang , Jingtao Ding , Yuming Lin , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Financial markets have a vital role in the development of modern society. They allow the deployment of economic resources. Changes in stock prices reflect changes in the market. In this study, we focus on predicting stock prices by deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Jialin Liu , Fei Chao , Yu-Chen Lin , Chih-Min Lin

The recent energy crisis starting in 2021 led to record-high gas, coal, carbon and power prices, with electricity reaching up to 40 times the pre-crisis average. This had dramatic consequences for operational and risk management prompting…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-27 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

Accurate prediction of electricity prices plays an essential role in the electricity market. To reflect the uncertainty of electricity prices, price intervals are predicted. This paper proposes a novel prediction interval construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Xin Lu

Estimating health benefits of reducing fossil fuel use from improved air quality provides important rationales for carbon emissions abatement. Simulating pollution concentration is a crucial step of the estimation, but traditional…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-01 Da Zhang , Qingyi Wang , Shaojie Song , Simiao Chen , Mingwei Li , Lu Shen , Siqi Zheng , Bofeng Cai , Shenhao Wang

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), the world's first and largest cap-and-trade carbon market, is a cornerstone of EU climate policy. This study provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the EU carbon market's…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-21 Avirup Chakraborty

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Predicting the price of used vehicles is a more interesting and needed problem by many users. Vehicle price prediction can be a challenging task due to the high number of attributes that should be considered for accurate prediction. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Auwal Tijjani Amshi

In this study, the novel hybrid machine learning approach is proposed in carbon price fluctuation prediction. Specifically, a research framework integrating DILATED Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 H. Wang , Y. Pang , D. Shang

Soil Organic Carbon (SOC) estimation is crucial to manage both natural and anthropic ecosystems and has recently been put under the magnifying glass after the Paris agreement 2016 due to its relationship with greenhouse gas. Statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-15 Luigi Lombardo , Sergio Saia , Calogero Schillaci , P. Martin Mai , Raphaël Huser

Searching for new effective risk factors on stock returns is an important research topic in asset pricing. Factor modeling is an active research topic in statistics and econometrics, with many new advances. However, these new methods have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-27 Xialu Liu , John Guerard , Rong Chen , Ruey Tsay