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We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time series models. We show the proposed estimators are consistent and follow normal distributions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee

The maximum-likelihood estimator of nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects is consistent but asymptotically-biased under rectangular-array asymptotics. The literature has thus far concentrated its effort on devising methods to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-28 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

This paper systematically analyzes and reviews identification strategies for binary choice logit models with fixed effects in panel and network data settings. We examine both static and dynamic models with general fixed-effect structures,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-18 Kevin Dano , Bo E. Honoré , Martin Weidner

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a Hausman test for the correct specification of unobserved heterogeneity in both linear and nonlinear fixed-effects panel data models. The null hypothesis is that heterogeneity is either time-invariant or, symmetrically,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Claudia Pigini , Alessandro Pionati , Francesco Valentini

Inference in linear panel data models is complicated by the presence of fixed effects when (some of) the regressors are not strictly exogenous. Under asymptotics where the number of cross-sectional observations and time periods grow at the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-13 Ayden Higgins , Koen Jochmans

In panel experiments, we randomly assign units to different interventions, measuring their outcomes, and repeating the procedure in several periods. Using the potential outcomes framework, we define finite population dynamic causal effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Iavor Bojinov , Ashesh Rambachan , Neil Shephard

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

This paper studies a class of linear panel models with random coefficients. We do not restrict the joint distribution of the time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity and the covariates. We investigate identification of the average partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-21 Louise Laage

This paper is concerned with estimation and inference for ultrahigh dimensional partially linear single-index models. The presence of high dimensional nuisance parameter and nuisance unknown function makes the estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Shijie Cui , Xu Guo , Zhe Zhang

In this paper, we propose a class of low-rank panel quantile regression models which allow for unobserved slope heterogeneity over both individuals and time. We estimate the heterogeneous intercept and slope matrices via nuclear norm…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Yiren Wang , Liangjun Su , Yichong Zhang

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

This paper considers panel data models where the conditional quantiles of the dependent variables are additively separable as unknown functions of the regressors and the individual effects. We propose two estimators of the quantile partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-30 Liang Chen

We consider parameter inference for linear quantile regression with non-stationary predictors and errors, where the regression parameters are subject to inequality constraints. We show that the constrained quantile coefficient estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-08 Yuan Sun , Zhou Zhou

A new statistical procedure, based on a modified spline basis, is proposed to identify the linear components in the panel data model with fixed effects. Under some mild assumptions, the proposed procedure is shown to consistently estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-21 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

Modeling of longitudinal data often requires diffusion models that incorporate overall time-dependent, nonlinear dynamics of multiple components and provide sufficient flexibility for subject-specific modeling. This complexity challenges…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Mareile Große Ruse , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

We study the identification and estimation of structural parameters in dynamic panel data logit models where decisions are forward-looking and the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and observable state variables is…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Victor Aguirregabiria , Jiaying Gu , Yao Luo

This paper studies a linear model for multidimensional panel data of three or more dimensions with unobserved interactive fixed-effects. The main estimator uses a Neyman-orthogonal approach, and requires two preliminary steps. First, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Hugo Freeman

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning