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The future 21 cm intensity mapping observations constitute a promising way to trace the matter distribution of the Universe and probe cosmology. Here we assess its capability for cosmological constraints using as a case study the BINGO…

We develop a framework to compute the redshift space power spectrum (PS), with kernels beyond Einstein-de Sitter (EdS), that can be applied to a wide variety of generalized cosmologies. We build upon a formalism that was recently employed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-16 Alejandro Aviles , Georgios Valogiannis , Mario A. Rodriguez-Meza , Jorge L. Cervantes-Cota , Baojiu Li , Rachel Bean

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

The 21cm emission line from neutral hydrogen (HI) contained within galaxies provides a way to make accurate spectroscopic redshift determinations in the radio part of the spectrum. Large radio arrays such as SKA-MID are coming online that…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-30 Ainulnabilah Nasirudin , Philip Bull , Isabelle Ye

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) data stream will inevitably contain gaps due to maintenance and environmental disturbances, introducing nonstationarities and spectral leakage that compromise standard frequency-domain…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-30 Ruiting Mao , Jeong Eun Lee , Matthew C. Edwards

We explore error distributions in Epoch of Reionization 21-cm power spectrum estimators using a combination of mathematical analysis and numerical simulations. We provide closed form solutions for the error distributions of individual bins…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-20 Michael J. Wilensky , Jordan Brown , Bryna J. Hazelton

Understanding the epochs of cosmic dawn and reionisation requires us to leverage multi-wavelength and multi-tracer observations, with each dataset providing a complimentary piece of the puzzle. To interpret such data, we update the public…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-24 James E. Davies , Andrei Mesinger , Steven Murray

Comparison of appropriate models to describe observational data is a fundamental task of science. The Bayesian model evidence, or marginal likelihood, is a computationally challenging, yet crucial, quantity to estimate to perform Bayesian…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-10 A. Spurio Mancini , M. M. Docherty , M. A. Price , J. D. McEwen

Next generation photometric and spectroscopic surveys will enable unprecedented tests of the concordance cosmological model and of galaxy formation and evolution. Fully exploiting their potential requires a precise understanding of the…

Weak gravitational lensing is one of the few direct methods to map the dark-matter distribution on large scales in the Universe, and to estimate cosmological parameters. We study a Bayesian inference problem where the data covariance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-01 Martin Kilbinger , Emille E. O. Ishida , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe

We present cosmological constraints from weak lensing with the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) first-year (Y1) data, using a simulation-based inference (SBI) method. % We explore the performance of a set of higher-order statistics (HOS)…

Single-molecule experiments are a unique tool to characterize the structural dynamics of biomolecules. However, reconstructing molecular details from noisy single-molecule data is challenging. Simulation-based inference (SBI) integrates…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-10-22 Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino

Modern machine learning will allow for simulation-based inference from reionization-era 21cm observations at the Square Kilometre Array. Our framework combines a convolutional summary network and a conditional invertible network through a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-16 Benedikt Schosser , Caroline Heneka , Tilman Plehn

The large number of strong lenses discoverable in future astronomical surveys will likely enhance the value of strong gravitational lensing as a cosmic probe of dark energy and dark matter. However, leveraging the increased statistical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-03 Jason Poh , Ashwin Samudre , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Joshua Frieman , Gourav Khullar , Brian D. Nord

When a posterior peaks in unexpected regions of parameter space, new physics has either been discovered, or a bias has not been identified yet. To tell these two cases apart is of paramount importance. We therefore present a method to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-04 Elena Sellentin , Jean-Luc Starck

X-ray spectral fitting in high-energy astrophysics can be reliably accelerated using Machine Learning. In particular, Simulation-based Inference (SBI) produces accurate posterior distributions in the Gaussian and Poisson regime for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-09 Simon Dupourqué , Didier Barret

The Lyman-alpha forest provides strong constraints on both cosmological parameters and intergalactic medium astrophysics, which are forecast to improve further with the next generation of surveys including eBOSS and DESI. As is generic in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-19 Keir K. Rogers , Hiranya V. Peiris , Andrew Pontzen , Simeon Bird , Licia Verde , Andreu Font-Ribera

Single-molecule force spectroscopy (smFS) is a powerful approach to studying molecular self-organization. However, the coupling of the molecule with the ever-present experimental device introduces artifacts, that complicates the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino

In many cosmological inference problems, the likelihood (the probability of the observed data as a function of the unknown parameters) is unknown or intractable. This necessitates approximations and assumptions, which can lead to incorrect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-02 Niall Jeffrey , Justin Alsing , François Lanusse

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey
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