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Ecological systems are governed by complex interactions which are mainly nonlinear. In order to capture this complexity and nonlinearity, statistical models recently gained popularity. However, although these models are commonly applied in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-29 Can Ozan Tan , Uygar Ozesmi , Meryem Beklioglu , Esra Per , Bahtiyar Kurt

Advanced inference techniques allow one to reconstruct the pattern of interaction from high dimensional data sets. We focus here on the statistical properties of inferred models and argue that inference procedures are likely to yield models…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-09 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Matteo Marsili

Big data and business analytics are critical drivers of business and societal transformations. Uplift models support a firm's decision-making by predicting the change of a customer's behavior due to a treatment. Prior work examines models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

We study iterative methods for (two-stage) robust combinatorial optimization problems with discrete uncertainty. We propose a machine-learning-based heuristic to determine starting scenarios that provide strong lower bounds. To this end, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Farmers in developing regions like Karnataka, India, face a dual challenge: navigating extreme market and climate volatility while being excluded from the digital revolution due to literacy barriers. This paper presents a novel decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Niranjan Mallikarjun Sindhur , Pavithra C , Nivya Muchikel

Physics-based climate projections using general circulation models are essential for assessing future risks, but their coarse resolution limits regional decision-making. Statistical downscaling can efficiently add detail, yet many methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Takuro Kutsuna , Noriko N. Ishizaki , Norihiro Oyama , Hiroaki Yoshida

We introduce an interpretable-by-design method, optimized model-analog, that integrates deep learning with model-analog forecasting which generates forecasts from similar initial climate states in a repository of model simulations. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-10 Kinya Toride , Matthew Newman , Andrew Hoell , Antonietta Capotondi , Jakob Schlör , Dillon J. Amaya

Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew Jesson , Alyson Douglas , Peter Manshausen , Maëlys Solal , Nicolai Meinshausen , Philip Stier , Yarin Gal , Uri Shalit

Ecosystem restoration has been recognized to be critical to achieving accelerating progress on all of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals. Decision makers, policymakers, data scientists, earth scientists, and other scholars…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Bogdana Rakova , Alexander Winter

Lending decisions are usually made with proprietary models that provide minimally acceptable explanations to users. In a future world without such secrecy, what decision support tools would one want to use for justified lending decisions?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Chaofan Chen , Kangcheng Lin , Cynthia Rudin , Yaron Shaposhnik , Sijia Wang , Tong Wang

Many recently introduced enhanced sampling techniques are based on biasing coarse descriptors (collective variables) of a molecular system on the fly. Sometimes the calculation of such collective variables is expensive and becomes a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-01 Marco Jacopo Ferrarotti , Sandro Bottaro , Andrea Pérez-Villa , Giovanni Bussi

Learning attribute applicability of products in the Amazon catalog (e.g., predicting that a shoe should have a value for size, but not for battery-type at scale is a challenge. The need for an interpretable model is contingent on (1) the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Tammo Rukat , Dustin Lange , Cédric Archambeau

Prediction of new drug-target interactions is extremely important as it can lead the researchers to find new uses for old drugs and to realize the therapeutic profiles or side effects thereof. However, experimental prediction of drug-target…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Farshid Rayhan , Sajid Ahmed , Swakkhar Shatabda , Dewan Md Farid , Zaynab Mousavian , Abdollah Dehzangi , M Sohel Rahman

We develop a tree boosting algorithm for collider measurements of multiple Wilson coefficients in effective field theories describing phenomena beyond the standard model of particle physics. The design of the discriminant exploits per-event…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-27 Suman Chatterjee , Stefan Rohshap , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

We propose two algorithms for boosting random Fourier feature models for approximating high-dimensional functions. These methods utilize the classical and generalized analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition to learn low-order functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Daniel Potts , Laura Weidensager

Interpretability and transparency are essential for incorporating causal effect models from observational data into policy decision-making. They can provide trust for the model in the absence of ground truth labels to evaluate the accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Liran Szlak , Ehud Karavani , Chris Holmes , Yishai Shimoni

Real-world generalization, e.g., deciding to approach a never-seen-before animal, relies on contextual information as well as previous experiences. Such a seemingly easy behavioral choice requires the interplay of multiple neural…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Peer Herholz , Eddy Fortier , Mariya Toneva , Nicolas Farrugia , Leila Wehbe , Valentina Borghesani

Clustering is a fundamental learning task widely used as a first step in data analysis. For example, biologists use cluster assignments to analyze genome sequences, medical records, or images. Since downstream analysis is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Jonathan Svirsky , Ofir Lindenbaum