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Models often need to be constrained to a certain size for them to be considered interpretable. For example, a decision tree of depth 5 is much easier to understand than one of depth 50. Limiting model size, however, often reduces accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Abhishek Ghose , Balaraman Ravindran

Efforts are needed to identify and measure both communities' exposure to climate hazards and the social vulnerabilities that interact with these hazards, but the science of validating hazard vulnerability indicators is still in its infancy.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Lidia Cano Pecharroman , Melissa O. Tier , Elke U. Weber

Coupled human-environment systems are increasingly being understood as complex adaptive systems (CAS), in which micro-level interactions between components lead to emergent behavior. Agent-based models (ABMs) hold great promise for…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-20 Dylan Munson , Arijit Dey , Simon Mak

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

We present a new procedure for enhanced variable selection for component-wise gradient boosting. Statistical boosting is a computational approach that emerged from machine learning, which allows to fit regression models in the presence of…

In this article we propose a boosting algorithm for regression with functional explanatory variables and scalar responses. The algorithm uses decision trees constructed with multiple projections as the "base-learners", which we call…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

Statistical boosting algorithms have triggered a lot of research during the last decade. They combine a powerful machine-learning approach with classical statistical modelling, offering various practical advantages like automated variable…

Background: Heritability is a central measure in genetics quantifying how much of the variability observed in a trait is attributable to genetic differences. Existing methods for estimating heritability are most often based on random-effect…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-26 The Tien Mai , Paul Turner , Jukka Corander

Many single-target regression problems require estimates of uncertainty along with the point predictions. Probabilistic regression algorithms are well-suited for these tasks. However, the options are much more limited when the prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Michael O'Malley , Adam M. Sykulski , Rick Lumpkin , Alejandro Schuler

Gradient boosted trees are competition-winning, general-purpose, non-parametric regressors, which exploit sequential model fitting and gradient descent to minimize a specific loss function. The most popular implementations are tailored to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

Explainable boosting machines (EBMs) are popular "glass-box" models that learn a set of univariate functions using boosting trees. These achieve explainability through visualizations of each feature's effect. However, unlike linear model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Jonathan Pipping-Gamon , Giles Hooker

Tree ensemble models like random forests and gradient boosting machines are widely used in machine learning due to their excellent predictive performance. However, a high-performance ensemble consisting of a large number of decision trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Zebin Yang , Agus Sudjianto , Xiaoming Li , Aijun Zhang

Model explainability is crucial for human users to be able to interpret how a proposed classifier assigns labels to data based on its feature values. We study generalized linear models constructed using sets of feature value rules, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Sanjeeb Dash , Soumyadip Ghosh , Joao Goncalves , Mark S. Squillante

The economic and banking importance of the small and medium enterprise (SME) sector is well recognized in contemporary society. Business credit loans are very important for the operation of SMEs, and the revenue is a key indicator of credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Zebang Zhang , Kui Zhao , Kai Huang , Quanhui Jia , Yanming Fang , Quan Yu

Boosting has garnered significant interest across both machine learning and statistical communities. Traditional boosting algorithms, designed for fully observed random samples, often struggle with real-world problems, particularly with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yuan Bian , Grace Y. Yi , Wenqing He

Capturing complex dependence structures between outcome variables (e.g., study endpoints) is of high relevance in contemporary biomedical data problems and medical research. Distributional copula regression provides a flexible tool to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Nicolai Hans , Nadja Klein , Florian Faschingbauer , Michael Schneider , Andreas Mayr

In this paper, we focus on exploiting the group structure for large-dimensional factor models, which captures the homogeneous effects of common factors on individuals within the same group. In view of the fact that datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

Machine learning algorithms have been extensively exploited in energy research, due to their flexibility, automation and ability to handle big data. Among the most prominent machine learning algorithms are the boosting ones, which are known…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-02 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Ridge regression is a well established regression estimator which can conveniently be adapted for classification problems. One compelling reason is probably the fact that ridge regression emits a closed-form solution thereby facilitating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Jakramate Bootkrajang

Previous research on EMA data of mental disorders was mainly focused on multivariate regression-based approaches modeling each individual separately. This paper goes a step further towards exploring the use of non-linear interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs