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Linear optimization problems are investigated whose parameters are uncertain. We apply coherent distortion risk measures to capture the possible violation of a restriction. Each risk constraint induces an uncertainty set of coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Karl Mosler , Pavel Bazovkin

Expanding on techniques of concentration of measure, we develop a quantitative framework for modeling liquidity risk using convex risk measures. The fundamental objects of study are curves of the form $(\rho(\lambda X))_{\lambda \ge 0}$,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-28 Daniel Lacker

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

Consider a pair of cumulative distribution functions $F$ and $G$, where $F$ is unknown and $G$ is a known reference distribution. Given a sample from $F$, we propose tests to detect the convexity or the concavity of $G^{-1}\circ F$ versus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tommaso Lando , Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada

In this work, we systematically present a new dynamical systems approach to standard inflationary processes and their variants as constant-roll inflation. Using the techniques presented in our work one can in general investigate the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Sandip Biswas , Saddam Hussain , Kaushik Bhattacharya

Systemic risk measures are crucial for the stability of financial markets, yet classical formulations fail to capture the complexity of market volatility. We propose a new framework for systemic risk measurement on the variable-exponent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Fei Sun , Jieming Zhou

This paper presents a novel dynamic post-shielding framework that enforces the full class of $\omega$-regular correctness properties over pre-computed probabilistic policies. This constitutes a paradigm shift from the predominant setting of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Ashwani Anand , Satya Prakash Nayak , Ritam Raha , Anne-Kathrin Schmuck

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

In this work we consider the unbiased estimation of expectations w.r.t.~probability measures that have non-negative Lebesgue density, and which are known point-wise up-to a normalizing constant. We focus upon developing an unbiased method…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-17 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff

We study the Neyman-Pearson theory for convex expectations (convex risk measures) on $L^{\infty}(\mu)$. Without assuming that the level sets of penalty functions are weakly compact, a new approach different from the convex duality method is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Sun Chuanfeng , Ji Shaolin

We implement momentum strategies using reward-risk measures as ranking criteria based on classical tempered stable distribution. Performances and risk characteristics for the alternative portfolios are obtained in various asset classes and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Jaehyung Choi , Young Shin Kim , Ivan Mitov

This paper deals with shape optimization for elastic materials under stochastic loads. It transfers the paradigm of stochastic dominance, which allows for flexible risk aversion via comparison with benchmark random variables, from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Rüdiger Schultz , Sascha Tölkes

Systematic investment strategies are exposed to a subtle but pervasive vulnerability: the progressive erosion of their effectiveness as market regimes change. Traditional risk measures, designed to capture volatility or drawdowns, overlook…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-10 Nolan Alexander , Frank Fabozzi

Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

We develop a method for computing policies in Markov decision processes with risk-sensitive measures subject to temporal logic constraints. Specifically, we use a particular risk-sensitive measure from cumulative prospect theory, which has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Murat Cubuktepe , Ufuk Topcu

We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

We show that a wide class of risk-constrained nonconvex functional optimization problems exhibit strong duality, regardless of nonconvexity. We develop two novel results under distinct sets of assumptions, establishing strong duality over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Dionysis Kalogerias , Spyridon Pougkakiotis

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

In this paper, we study convex risk measures with weak optimal transport penalties. In a first step, we show that these risk measures allow for an explicit representation via a nonlinear transform of the loss function. In a second step, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Michael Kupper , Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo