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Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

We address the problem of identifying the dynamical law governing the evolution of a population of indistinguishable particles, when only aggregate distributions at successive times are observed. Assuming a Markovian evolution on a discrete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Michele Mascherpa , Axel Ringh , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Johan Karlsson

We study risk-sensitive control of continuous time Markov chains taking values in discrete state space. We study both finite and infinite horizon problems. In the finite horizon problem we characterise the value function via HJB equation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Mrinal K. Ghosh , Subhamay Saha

State minimization of combinatorial filters is a fundamental problem that arises, for example, in building cheap, resource-efficient robots. But exact minimization is known to be NP-hard. This paper conducts a more nuanced analysis of this…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yulin Zhang , Dylan A. Shell

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

We develop a framework for the compression of reversible Markov chains with rigorous error control. Given a subset of selected states, we construct reduced dynamics that can be lifted to an approximation of the full dynamics, and we prove…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Mark Fornace , Michael Lindsey

In the context of Markov decision processes running in continuous time, one of the most intriguing challenges is the efficient approximation of finite horizon reachability objectives. A multitude of sophisticated model checking algorithms…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Yuliya Butkova , Hassan Hatefi , Holger Hermanns , Jan Krcal

We study classes of dynamical systems that can be obtained by constructing recursive networks with monotone Boolean functions. Stack filters in nonlinear signal processing are special cases of such systems. We show an analytical connection…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-07-28 Matti Nykter , Juha Kesseli , Ilya Shmulevich

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-04 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

We link optimal filtering for hidden Markov models to the notion of duality for Markov processes. We show that when the signal is dual to a process that has two components, one deterministic and one a pure death process, and with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-23 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

We present a novel particle filtering framework for continuous-time dynamical systems with continuous-time measurements. Our approach is based on the duality between estimation and optimal control, which allows reformulating the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Qinsheng Zhang , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Yongxin Chen

We present a framework for obtaining explicit bounds on the rate of convergence to equilibrium of a Markov chain on a general state space, with respect to both total variation and Wasserstein distances. For Wasserstein bounds, our main tool…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Neal Madras , Deniz Sezer

This paper aims at improving the convergence to equilibrium of finite ergodic Markov chains via permutations and projections. First, we prove that a specific mixture of permuted Markov chains arises naturally as a projection under the KL…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Michael C. H. Choi , Max Hird , Youjia Wang

On a weakly Blackwell space we show how to define a Markov chain approximating problem, for the target problem. The approximating problem is proved to converge to the optimal reduced problem under different pseudometrics. A computational…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-14 Giacomo Aletti , Diane Saada

In this article, we study the continuous-discrete projection filter for exponential-family manifolds with conjugate likelihoods. We first derive the local projection error of the prediction step of the continuous-discrete projection filter.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Muhammad F. Emzir , Zaid A. Sawlan , Sami El Ferik

We consider an infinite horizon optimal control problem for a continuous-time Markov chain $X$ in a finite set $I$ with noise-free partial observation. The observation process is defined as $Y_t = h(X_t)$, $t \geq 0$, where $h$ is a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Alessandro Calvia

In this paper, we consider the problem of identifying a linear map from measurements which are subject to intermittent and arbitarily large errors. This is a fundamental problem in many estimation-related applications such as fault…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Laurent Bako , Henrik Ohlsson

The knowledge of channel statistics can be very helpful in making sound opportunistic spectrum access decisions. It is therefore desirable to be able to efficiently and accurately estimate channel statistics. In this paper we study the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Quanquan Liang , Mingyan Liu
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