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In this contribution we deal with the problem of learning an undirected graph which encodes the conditional dependence relationship between variables of a complex system, given a set of observations of this system. This is a very central…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Daniela De Canditiis , Armando Guardasole

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

In order to illustrate the adaptation of traditional continuum numerical techniques to the study of complex network systems, we use the equation-free framework to analyze a dynamically evolving multigraph. This approach is based on coupling…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-03 Alexander Holiday , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Real-world optimization problems are generally not just black-box problems, but also involve mixed types of inputs in which discrete and continuous variables coexist. Such mixed-space optimization possesses the primary challenge of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Jaeyeon Ahn , Taehyeon Kim , Seyoung Yun

Neighborhood selection is a widely used method used for estimating the support set of sparse precision matrices, which helps determine the conditional dependence structure in undirected graphical models. However, reporting only point…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-29 Guillaume Alain , Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Jason Yosinski , Eric Thibodeau-Laufer , Saizheng Zhang , Pascal Vincent

In this paper we extend the work of Smith and Papamichail (1999) and present fast approximate Bayesian algorithms for learning in complex scenarios where at any time frame, the relationships between explanatory state space variables can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Raffaella Settimi , Jim Q. Smith , A. S. Gargoum

Multivariate time series analysis is becoming an integral part of data analysis pipelines. Understanding the individual time point connections between covariates as well as how these connections change in time is non-trivial. To this aim,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-04 Federico Ciech , Veronica Tozzo

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method to learn translation-invariant relationships on non-Euclidean domains. The resulting graph convolutional Gaussian processes can be applied to problems in machine learning for which the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Ian Walker , Ben Glocker

As the availability and importance of temporal interaction data--such as email communication--increases, it becomes increasingly important to understand the underlying structure that underpins these interactions. Often these interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Elahe Ghalebi , Hamidreza Mahyar , Radu Grosu , Graham W. Taylor , Sinead A. Williamson

Reasoning system dynamics is one of the most important analytical approaches for many scientific studies. With the initial state of a system as input, the recent graph neural networks (GNNs)-based methods are capable of predicting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Lingbing Guo , Weiqing Wang , Zhuo Chen , Ningyu Zhang , Zequn Sun , Yixuan Lai , Qiang Zhang , Huajun Chen

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

This script offers an implementation-oriented introduction to deep learning methods for solving and estimating high-dimensional dynamic stochastic models in economics and finance. Its starting point is the curse of dimensionality:…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-15 Simon Scheidegger

Many complex processes can be viewed as dynamical systems of interacting agents. In many cases, only the state sequences of individual agents are observed, while the interacting relations and the dynamical rules are unknown. The neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Siyuan Chen , Jiahai Wang , Guoqing Li

In this paper, we discuss information-theoretic tools for obtaining optimized coarse-grained molecular models for both equilibrium and non-equilibrium molecular dynamics. The latter are ubiquitous in physicochemical and biological…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Vagelis Harmandaris , Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plecháč

This paper introduces the Gaussian multi-Graphical Model, a model to construct sparse graph representations of matrix- and tensor-variate data. We generalize prior work in this area by simultaneously learning this representation across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Bailey Andrew , David Westhead , Luisa Cutillo

The time-evolving precision matrix of a piecewise-constant Gaussian graphical model encodes the dynamic conditional dependency structure of a multivariate time-series. Traditionally, graphical models are estimated under the assumption that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-01 Alexander J. Gibberd , James D. B. Nelson

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson