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State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Michael A. Finegold , Mathias Drton

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

We propose a general modeling and inference framework that composes probabilistic graphical models with deep learning methods and combines their respective strengths. Our model family augments graphical structure in latent variables with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-10 Matthew J. Johnson , David Duvenaud , Alexander B. Wiltschko , Sandeep R. Datta , Ryan P. Adams

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

Enabling robots to perform complex dynamic tasks such as picking up an object in one sweeping motion or pushing off a wall to quickly turn a corner is a challenging problem. The dynamic interactions implicit in these tasks are critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Saumya Saxena , Oliver Kroemer

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Multivariate phase relationships are important to characterize and understand numerous physical, biological, and chemical systems, from electromagnetic waves to neural oscillations. These systems exhibit complex spatiotemporal dynamics and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Andrew S. Perley , Todd P. Coleman

We develop a discrete-time version of the blended dynamics theorem for the use of designing distributed computation algorithms. The blended dynamics theorem enables to predict the behavior of heterogeneous multi-agent systems. Therefore,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-01 Jeong Woo Kim , Jin Gyu Lee , Donggil Lee , Hyungbo Shim

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

Accurate and real-time traffic state prediction is of great practical importance for urban traffic control and web mapping services. With the support of massive data, deep learning methods have shown their powerful capability in capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Xunlian Luo , Chunjiang Zhu , Detian Zhang , Qing Li

Autonomous vehicles are expected to navigate in complex traffic scenarios with multiple surrounding vehicles. The correlations between road users vary over time, the degree of which, in theory, could be infinitely large, thus posing a great…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Yaohui Guo , Vinay Varma Kalidindi , Mansur Arief , Wenshuo Wang , Jiacheng Zhu , Huei Peng , Ding Zhao

Complex systems often show macroscopic coherent behavior due to the interactions of microscopic agents like molecules, cells, or individuals in a population with their environment. However, simulating such systems poses several…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Asif Hamid , Danish Rafiq , Shahkar Ahmad Nahvi , Mohammad Abid Bazaz

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-10 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

Learning the relationships between various entities from time-series data is essential in many applications. Gaussian graphical models have been studied to infer these relationships. However, existing algorithms process data in a batch at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

We propose Deep Neural Coregionalization, a scalable framework for uncertainty-aware multivariate geostatistics. DNC models multivariate spatial effects through spatially varying latent factors and loadings, assigning deep Gaussian process…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Yeseul Jeon , Aaron Scheffler , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

Methods that learn representations of nodes in a graph play a critical role in network analysis since they enable many downstream learning tasks. We propose Graph2Gauss - an approach that can efficiently learn versatile node embeddings on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Aleksandar Bojchevski , Stephan Günnemann